{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
  "slug": "kxnikkei-26dec31",
  "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 reach a specific high level in 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nikkei-225",
    "japan-equities",
    "price-level",
    "2026",
    "fx-sensitive"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Nikkei 225 index closing level on January 8, 2027. Kalshi structures the event as a strike ladder, pricing eleven discrete binary thresholds from ¥70,000 to ¥80,000. The implied distribution is readable from the spread between adjacent strikes. Kalshi staff determination uses the index's official closing print as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HXWRCT2L21",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HXWRCT2L21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-70000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥70,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥70,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥70,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-19T13:05:57Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥70,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥70,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥70,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4044.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 70000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7EA0C2AA6D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-27XSDFYFZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-71000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥71,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥71,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥71,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-19T13:19:28Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥71,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥71,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥71,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1527.58,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 71000,
      "question_id": "CMX-701001392A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XYKQ9Q8HV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-72000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥72,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥72,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥72,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T18:49:51Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥72,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥72,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥72,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 483.12,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 72000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DFA03E5F3D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BVWVG2B241",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-73000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥73,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥73,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥73,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥73,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥73,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥73,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 469.6,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 73000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3AD415E6BA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1MMG725M95",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-74000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥74,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥74,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥74,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥74,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥74,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥74,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 237.12199999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 74000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9EFBDFFBF5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VBFFJKFGF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-75000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥75,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥75,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥75,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥75,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥75,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥75,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 37.400000000000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 75000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8F6AE5EDCC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YDFXYWNGH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-76000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥76,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥76,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥76,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥76,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥76,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥76,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 214.24,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 76000,
      "question_id": "CMX-790F49A899",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V022ZGGWL3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-77000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥77,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥77,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥77,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥77,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥77,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥77,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 83.26,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 77000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4C1900F6FA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W7X508ZKH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-78000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥78,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥78,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥78,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥78,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥78,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥78,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 59.34,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 78000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9059A48481",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GZZ5GXQN92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-79000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥79,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥79,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥79,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥79,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥79,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥79,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 114.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 79000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CA94791740",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-78CLPDJKQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNIKKEI-26DEC31-80000",
      "question": "Will the Nikkei 225 be at least ¥80,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least ¥80,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least ¥80,000: The referenced index's closing price on January 8, 2027 determines the outcome per Kalshi staff determination using TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥80,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥80,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥80,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-NKY/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 24.419999999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 80000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8195F9A28F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "japanese stocks",
        "nikkei",
        "nikkei 225"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XYKQ9Q8HV6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T19:19:51.173766Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-27XSDFYFZ8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-19T13:49:28.487051Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HXWRCT2L21",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-19T13:35:58.485619Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZXNH6JM6R3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}