{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1G9DN35XX0",
  "slug": "kxnumshutdowns-27jan01",
  "question": "How many government shutdowns will occur in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-government",
    "fiscal-policy",
    "congressional-deadlock",
    "2026",
    "quantitative-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the count of distinct U.S. federal government shutdowns occurring in calendar year 2026. Kalshi structures the event as discrete tier thresholds: separate contracts price whether the final count reaches two, three, four, or five shutdowns. Each contract resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination, with shutdown status checked daily. Resolution occurs by April 2027, giving staff time to confirm all 2026 shutdown episodes.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0H95YFXQZ1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.6,
    "implied_probability": 0.6
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1G9DN35XX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01-T2",
      "question": "Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?",
      "description": "2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T14:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nLink to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
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            "name": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "source_commitment": "none",
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        "score": 51,
        "caps": [
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      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.726,
      "volume_total_usd": 18569.724,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1G9DN35XX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01-T3",
      "question": "Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 3 in 2026?",
      "description": "3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "3: Kalshi staff determination of the count of distinct government shutdowns in 2026, with shutdown status checked daily at 10:00 AM ET, resolves by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T14:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nLink to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 17.92,
      "volume_total_usd": 3201.6236000000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 4 in 2026?",
      "description": "4",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T14:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nLink to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 125.31872,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1G9DN35XX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01-T5",
      "question": "Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 5 in 2026?",
      "description": "5",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5: Kalshi staff determination of the count of distinct government shutdowns in 2026, with shutdown status checked daily at 10:00 AM ET, resolves by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T14:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nLink to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
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            "name": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1G9DN35XX0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}