{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYKXQHF0N7",
  "slug": "kxny10d-26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee for NY-10 be determined by the 2026 general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-elections-2026",
    "new-york-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "congressional-nominee",
    "election-forecast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary nominee for New York's 10th Congressional District. Kalshi lists five candidate-specific binary contracts: Goldman, Avilés, Lander, Niou, and Kasky. Each resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination against the same primary outcome. All five markets close November 3, 2026, aligning with the general election date rather than the primary itself, which creates a resolution timing note for traders.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8RZZGG1NY9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.968
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5SSDKS3F91",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYKXQHF0N7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY10D-26-DGOL",
      "question": "Will Dan Goldman be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?",
      "description": "Dan Goldman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dan Goldman: Kalshi staff shall determine whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dan Goldman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 33.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 4217.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democrat",
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        "ny-10"
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NF1TTKFJ77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYKXQHF0N7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY10D-26-AAVI",
      "question": "Will Alexa Avilés be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?",
      "description": "Alexa Avilés",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Alexa Avilés: Kalshi staff shall determine whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alexa Avilés wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "volume_total_usd": 45.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYKXQHF0N7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY10D-26-BLAN",
      "question": "Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?",
      "description": "Brad Lander",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brad Lander: Kalshi staff shall determine whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brad Lander wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.968,
      "implied_probability": 0.968,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3756.43,
      "volume_total_usd": 96326.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YB4J8X3604",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYKXQHF0N7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY10D-26-YNIO",
      "question": "Will Yuh-Line Niou be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?",
      "description": "Yuh-Line Niou",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Yuh-Line Niou: Kalshi staff shall determine whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Yuh-Line Niou wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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        "score": 90,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1.57,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.74,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYKXQHF0N7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY10D-26-CKAS",
      "question": "Will Cameron Kasky be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?",
      "description": "Cameron Kasky",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cameron Kasky: Kalshi staff shall determine whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Cameron Kasky wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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}