{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
  "slug": "kxny12d-26",
  "question": "Will a Democratic nominee be selected for NY-12 by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "ny-12",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "us-politics",
    "nominee-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic nomination outcome for New York's 12th congressional district. Kalshi lists 20 candidate-specific binary contracts, each resolving YES for the single nominee. All contracts settle via Kalshi staff determination against the Democratic Party's official nomination record. Markets close November 3, 2026, with resolution by November 4, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NJPC9WP2H2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.62,
    "implied_probability": 0.62
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJPC9WP2H2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-MLAS",
      "question": "Will Micah Lasher be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Micah Lasher",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Micah Lasher: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Micah Lasher wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9401.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 88079.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "micah lasher",
        "nominee",
        "ny-12"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TFGD2YY0K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-EBOT",
      "question": "Will Erik Bottcher be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Erik Bottcher",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Erik Bottcher: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Erik Bottcher wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.29,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "erik bottcher",
        "nominee",
        "ny-12"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3PTSB23CY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-JMEN",
      "question": "Will Julie Menin be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Julie Menin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Julie Menin: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Julie Menin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.32,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "julie menin",
        "nominee",
        "ny-12"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B9938K01J3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-ABOR",
      "question": "Will Alex Bores be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Alex Bores",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Alex Bores: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alex Bores wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1141.89,
      "volume_total_usd": 44575.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alex bores",
        "democrat",
        "nominee",
        "ny-12"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V1RDX916M5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-LELK",
      "question": "Will Liam Elkind be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Liam Elkind",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Liam Elkind: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Liam Elkind wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.52,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "liam elkind",
        "nominee",
        "ny-12"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z09Z0Y2FQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-CMAL",
      "question": "Will Carolyn Maloney be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Carolyn Maloney",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Carolyn Maloney: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Carolyn Maloney wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "carolyn maloney",
        "democrat",
        "nominee",
        "ny-12"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TDCLVYMVM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-LKHA",
      "question": "Will Lina Khan be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Lina Khan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lina Khan: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lina Khan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.73,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "lina khan",
        "nominee",
        "ny-12"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3086672J31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-JSCH",
      "question": "Will Jack Schlossberg be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Jack Schlossberg",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jack Schlossberg: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jack Schlossberg wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.058,
      "implied_probability": 0.058,
      "volume_24h_usd": 192.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 8516.61,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "jack schlossberg",
        "nominee",
        "ny-12"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9PPJVS3JD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNY12D-26-CKAS",
      "question": "Will Cameron Kasky be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
      "description": "Cameron Kasky",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cameron Kasky: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Cameron Kasky wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cameron kasky",
        "democrat",
        "nominee",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0XLSBWGN90",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
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      "question": "Will Laura Dunn be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Laura Dunn: The Democratic Party's official nomination of the candidate for the referenced New York congressional district resolves by November 4, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Laura Dunn wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-54JFD3XF15",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}