{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DFDYXQ5SX3",
  "slug": "kxnythead-26jul",
  "question": "The number of full-width New York Times front page headlines in Jul 2026",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1,
      2
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 97
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      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 8
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      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 9
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      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 1
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      {
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        "prob": 1
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  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "politics-news",
    "july-2026",
    "media-coverage",
    "headline-driven",
    "current-events"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track full-width New York Times front page headline counts in July 2026. Kalshi structures them as ascending strike thresholds: at least 1, 2, 3, 5, and 10 occurrences. Each tier prices a progressively rarer news-intensity event, forming an implied distribution of major-story frequency. Kalshi staff review New York Times front page reprint archives to determine resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-W4RLQG2SF7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.12
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 1 in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 1: New York Times front page reprint archives, reviewed by Kalshi staff, determine full-width headline count in July 2026 by October 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T19:12:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Banner headline\" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section.\n\nPast examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "New York Times",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "question": "Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 2 in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 2",
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      "underlying_reference": "At least 2: New York Times front page reprint archives, reviewed by Kalshi staff, determine full-width headline count in July 2026 by October 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 2 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Banner headline\" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section.\n\nPast examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "New York Times",
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_24h_usd": 7.2703999999999995,
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 5 in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 5",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "At least 5: New York Times front page reprint archives, reviewed by Kalshi staff, determine full-width headline count in July 2026 by October 30, 2026.",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 10 in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 10",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.97,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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}