{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
  "slug": "kxoilrigs-26",
  "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "oil-rigs",
    "us-energy",
    "economic-indicator",
    "commodities",
    "end-of-year-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the US oil rig count at end of 2026, as published by the American Oil & Gas Reporter. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds, from 370 rigs to 600 rigs. Each strike resolves independently, allowing traders to express a point estimate or range view across the curve. Kalshi staff determination applies to all strikes, referencing the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published count at year-end.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6VZNRCXST3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.79,
    "implied_probability": 0.79
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HKCY80NQX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-370",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 370",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 370: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 370, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.4,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 370,
      "question_id": "CMX-4FFB818D9C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6HH2ZNQSY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-380",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 380",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 380: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 380, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.99,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 380,
      "question_id": "CMX-22C781F8B9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3FKZR7QKM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-390",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 390",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 390: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 390, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 165.6828,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 390,
      "question_id": "CMX-1B6E26316F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V9C63WHT57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-400",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 400",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 400: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 400, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 244.90800000000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 400,
      "question_id": "CMX-5D0216B70D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C42786JLC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-410",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 410",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 410: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 410, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 44.0062,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 410,
      "question_id": "CMX-A1AD68EC1E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8KRSMYBXV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-420",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 420",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 420: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 420, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.84,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 281.9124,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 420,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D7CEF4BE4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6VZNRCXST3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-430",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 430",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 430: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 430, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.79,
      "implied_probability": 0.79,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5092.569100000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 430,
      "question_id": "CMX-AE1E577CD3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4DN7PJPC13",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-440",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 440",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 440: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 440, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.4596,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.4596,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 440,
      "question_id": "CMX-6985F7E88F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W97RCN7HT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-450",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 450",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 450: Kalshi staff determination based on the American Oil & Gas Reporter's published US rig count as of end of year 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 450, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
            "url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 450,
      "question_id": "CMX-ADE681A1D2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "oil",
        "us",
        "us oil rigs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NQDNBYBSZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXOILRIGS-26-500",
      "question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
      "description": "At least 500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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