{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMF35Q0ZY7",
  "slug": "kxpardonstrump-26jul",
  "question": "How many people will Trump pardon by July 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-pardons",
    "us-politics",
    "executive-power",
    "2026",
    "quantitative-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the total count of individuals pardoned by President Trump during July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as eight discrete count tiers, ranging from zero to above 249, each priced as a separate binary contract. The tiers are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, so relative pricing across them implies a full distribution over pardon volume. Kalshi staff determination draws from White House official announcements to settle the final count by August 1, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PK6M0G94N0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.92,
    "implied_probability": 0.92
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7BS5SNGG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMF35Q0ZY7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUL-0",
      "question": "Will exactly 0 people be pardoned in July 2026?",
      "description": "0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "0: White House official announcements resolve the count of individuals pardoned during July 2026, with determination due by August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-05T18:36:51Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUL-1",
      "question": "Will exactly 1 people be pardoned in July 2026?",
      "description": "1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "White House official announcements resolve the count of individuals pardoned during July 2026, with determination due by August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-05T18:36:51Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 1 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-53VL0MBR82",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUL-2",
      "question": "Will exactly 2 people be pardoned in July 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 2 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-60HW0RRRT2",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUL-6",
      "question": "Will between 3 and 9 people be pardoned in July 2026?",
      "description": "3 to 9",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "3 to 9: White House official announcements resolve the count of individuals pardoned during July 2026, with determination due by August 1, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 3 and 9 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUL-17",
      "question": "Will between 10 and 24 people be pardoned in July 2026?",
      "description": "10 to 24",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "10 to 24: White House official announcements resolve the count of individuals pardoned during July 2026, with determination due by August 1, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 10 and 24 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "last_price": 0.92,
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      "platform_market_id": "KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUL-62",
      "question": "Will between 25 and 99 people be pardoned in July 2026?",
      "description": "25 to 99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "25 to 99: White House official announcements resolve the count of individuals pardoned during July 2026, with determination due by August 1, 2026.",
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      "question": "Will between 100 and 249 people be pardoned in July 2026?",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-JMF35Q0ZY7",
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}