{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QH49Q7F1N3",
  "slug": "kxpayrolls-26may",
  "question": "Nonfarm payroll jobs added, May 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      150000,
      null
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": -50000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": -25000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": -10000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
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        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 20000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 30000,
        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 40000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000,
        "prob": 100
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      {
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        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 70000,
        "prob": 100
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      {
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        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 90000,
        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 100000,
        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 110000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 125000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 150000,
        "prob": 100
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-jobs",
    "employment",
    "economic-indicators",
    "may-2026",
    "labor-market"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [
    "cpi",
    "jobs",
    "gdp",
    "fomc"
  ],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics May 2026 nonfarm payroll employment change. Kalshi prices the print against discrete strike thresholds, from -50,000 to +150,000, forming an implied probability distribution over the payroll outcome. Cross-strike spread relationships allow readers to infer consensus around specific job-gain levels. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination against the BLS initial release on June 5, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NGQ3MTLG05",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -50000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau Of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 790.08,
      "volume_total_usd": 3769.52,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-E969B144F6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.",
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      "question_id": "CMX-27F47D0BA0",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.",
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      "question": "Will above 10000 jobs be added in May 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announces May 2026 nonfarm payroll employment change in its monthly jobs report.",
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        "rules_raw": "If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.",
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