{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYJBY61QL1",
  "slug": "kxpersonpublic-26aug01",
  "question": "Will Bill Clinton be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "public-appearance",
    "political-figure",
    "2026",
    "observational-resolution",
    "july-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These five Kalshi markets track whether each named former public official will be observed in public before August 1, 2026. Each market is structured as a binary outcome resolved independently per subject. Kalshi staff determination relies on ABC News coverage as the evidentiary standard. A subject's absence from ABC News coverage before the deadline would likely resolve the contract No.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YY8L5T1JY0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.98,
    "implied_probability": 0.98
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3ZHN2NMLD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYJBY61QL1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-BOBA",
      "question": "Will Barack Obama be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Barack Obama",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Barack Obama: Kalshi staff determination based on ABC News coverage will resolve whether the named individual is observed in public before August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Barack Obama has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Barack Obama is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Barack Obama appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nBarack Obama attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nBarack Obama gives a live press conference covered by news media\nBarack Obama attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Barack Obama but without Source Agency confirmation\nBarack Obama appearing via video link from home",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/us",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts verified by the platforms",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sky News",
            "url": "https://news.sky.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 66.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 1011.28,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "barack obama",
        "former president",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B6HK7ZLKT5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYJBY61QL1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-GBUS",
      "question": "Will George Bush be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "George Bush",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "George Bush: Kalshi staff determination based on ABC News coverage will resolve whether the named individual is observed in public before August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-07T23:52:53Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If George Bush has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: George Bush is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: George Bush appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nGeorge Bush attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nGeorge Bush gives a live press conference covered by news media\nGeorge Bush attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be George Bush but without Source Agency confirmation\nGeorge Bush appearing via video link from home",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/us",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts verified by the platforms",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sky News",
            "url": "https://news.sky.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4962.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "former president",
        "george bush",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YY8L5T1JY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYJBY61QL1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-BCLI",
      "question": "Will Bill Clinton be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Bill Clinton",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Clinton: Kalshi staff determination based on ABC News coverage will resolve whether the named individual is observed in public before August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-13T23:11:02Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Clinton has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Bill Clinton is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Bill Clinton appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nBill Clinton attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nBill Clinton gives a live press conference covered by news media\nBill Clinton attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Bill Clinton but without Source Agency confirmation\nBill Clinton appearing via video link from home",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/us",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts verified by the platforms",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sky News",
            "url": "https://news.sky.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8612.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bill clinton",
        "former president",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H3M98YM530",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYJBY61QL1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-HCLI",
      "question": "Will Hillary Clinton be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Hillary Clinton",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hillary Clinton: Kalshi staff determination based on ABC News coverage will resolve whether the named individual is observed in public before August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-20T14:32:08Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hillary Clinton has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Hillary Clinton is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Hillary Clinton appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nHillary Clinton attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nHillary Clinton gives a live press conference covered by news media\nHillary Clinton attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Hillary Clinton but without Source Agency confirmation\nHillary Clinton appearing via video link from home",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/us",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts verified by the platforms",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sky News",
            "url": "https://news.sky.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6813.09,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "former secretary of state",
        "hillary clinton",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YJM4TSG562",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYJBY61QL1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-JBID",
      "question": "Will Joe Biden be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Joe Biden",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joe Biden: Kalshi staff determination based on ABC News coverage will resolve whether the named individual is observed in public before August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-07T00:42:05Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Joe Biden has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Joe Biden is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Joe Biden appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nJoe Biden attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nJoe Biden gives a live press conference covered by news media\nJoe Biden attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Joe Biden but without Source Agency confirmation\nJoe Biden appearing via video link from home",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/us",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts verified by the platforms",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sky News",
            "url": "https://news.sky.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5503.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "current president",
        "joe biden",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H3M98YM530",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "PENDING",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-20T15:02:09.801042Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.92,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YY8L5T1JY0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-13T23:41:09.489272Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.98,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B6HK7ZLKT5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-08T00:22:54.433755Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YJM4TSG562",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-07T01:12:38.340458Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.96,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NYJBY61QL1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}