{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5YRQP7DDC2",
  "slug": "kxplatnerdropout-26",
  "question": "Will Graham Platner drop out?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "senate-2026",
    "maine-election",
    "candidate-dropout",
    "electoral-dynamics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Graham Platner withdraws from the 2026 Maine United States Senate race before July 14, 2026. Only one market exists, listed on Kalshi, structured as a binary outcome on candidate withdrawal. Resolution depends on Kalshi staff determination of whether Platner has formally exited the race. No cross-platform structural contrast is available with a single market.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YGJ4PG2493",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.074,
    "implied_probability": 0.074
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YGJ4PG2493",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5YRQP7DDC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPLATNERDROPOUT-26",
      "question": "Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether Graham Platner has withdrawn from the 2026 Maine United States Senate race by July 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-14T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-14T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Dropped out\" means the candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign, files official withdrawal paperwork, publicly states they are no longer seeking the office, or endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running. Suspending a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain in the race. Death or incapacitation resolves to No, not Yes. Losing a primary or election, failing to qualify for debates or ballots, or being eliminated through the normal election process does not constitute dropping out. Once someone drops out, the market resolves Yes even if they later re-enter the race.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.074,
      "implied_probability": 0.074,
      "volume_24h_usd": 548.44,
      "volume_total_usd": 32003.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026 senate",
        "dropout",
        "graham platner",
        "graham platner maine",
        "maine"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5YRQP7DDC2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}