{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M53M2R04D7",
  "slug": "kxpriceincreaseapplemusic-26",
  "question": "Will Apple Music's Individual Plan price increase before 2027?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "apple-music",
    "pricing-strategy",
    "subscription-services",
    "music-streaming",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Apple raises the retail price of Apple Music's Individual Plan before January 1, 2027. Kalshi prices a binary outcome resolved by Kalshi staff determination, using Apple's official pricing announcements as the authoritative source. Ars Technica coverage serves as a secondary verification channel. No cross-platform structural contrast applies; only one market exists.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N5K0NHNGD3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N5K0NHNGD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M53M2R04D7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRICEINCREASEAPPLEMUSIC-26",
      "question": "Will Apple Music's Individual Plan increase before 2027?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Apple's official pricing announcement for the Individual Plan of Apple Music, confirmed by Apple or verified through Ars Technica reporting, before December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Apple Music Individual Plan (Monthly) has a national price increase of anything greater than 0% announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAs of November 6, 2025, the Apple music Individual Plan costs $10.99 per month.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ars Technica",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://arstechnica.com",
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            "name": "Ars Technica",
            "url": "https://arstechnica.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
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          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official announcements through verified company social media accounts",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official press releases from the company",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official website of the manufacturer or service provider of product",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "TechCrunch",
            "url": "https://techcrunch.com",
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Verge",
            "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 75.24,
      "volume_total_usd": 28030.2561,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BC65611232",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "apple",
        "apple music individual",
        "music",
        "pricing",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-M53M2R04D7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}