{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
  "slug": "kxprimarycounty-cagovprimary1st26jun021st",
  "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win a majority of California counties in the California governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "county-level",
    "2027-election",
    "xavier-becerra"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Xavier Becerra's county-level performance in the 2027 California gubernatorial primary. Each Kalshi contract isolates a single county outcome, letting traders price geographic vote distribution independently. Collectively, the ten counties span coastal metros, inland valleys, and swing suburban belts. All contracts resolve via Kalshi staff determination against certified primary results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-46F3WKGN93",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LVD58JLQ61",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-LANG",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win Los Angeles County?",
      "description": "Los Angeles",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Los Angeles: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 459.78,
      "volume_total_usd": 1199.01,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "governor",
        "los angeles",
        "primary",
        "xavier becerra wins"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B8W0G79Y59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SACR",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win Sacramento County?",
      "description": "Sacramento",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Sacramento: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Sacramento County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "last_price": 1,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 164.34,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S9HQDXD3K2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SCLA",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win Santa Clara County?",
      "description": "Santa Clara",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Santa Clara: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Santa Clara County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 185.15,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-83HRQYSSN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-FRES",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County?",
      "description": "Fresno",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Fresno: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:53:56Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:53:56Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Fresno County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
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        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 4,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YMMNXPWVV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SDIE",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win San Diego County?",
      "description": "San Diego",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "San Diego: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:53:56Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:53:56Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in San Diego County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H2QH37QWB3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-VENT",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win Ventura County?",
      "description": "Ventura",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ventura: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:53:56Z",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-46F3WKGN93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-MONT",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win Monterey County?",
      "description": "Monterey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Monterey: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Monterey County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 6938.35,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "governor",
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        "xavier becerra wins"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BM7L925DP3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SBER",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win San Bernardino County?",
      "description": "San Bernardino",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "San Bernardino: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in San Bernardino County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 1,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 99,
      "volume_total_usd": 713.86,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NP0WXYCM94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FJ113JWHP3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-RIVE",
      "question": "Will Xavier Becerra win Riverside County?",
      "description": "Riverside",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Riverside: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T00:54:19Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Riverside County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
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        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
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      "rcg": {
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2367.33,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "california",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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