{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
  "slug": "kxprimarycounty-cagovprimary1st26jun021stshil",
  "question": "Will Steve Hilton win a majority of California counties in the governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "primary-elections",
    "county-level",
    "2027-election",
    "steve-hilton"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Steve Hilton's county-level performance in the 2027 California gubernatorial primary. Each binary contract resolves on whether Hilton carries a specific county, covering ten jurisdictions spanning Southern California, the Central Valley, and the Sierra foothills. The markets collectively map his potential geographic coalition rather than his statewide outcome. All ten resolve via Kalshi staff determination against certified county-level results from the June 2027 primary.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TFFF73QTC2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TSMXC5K0H4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-ORAN",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win Orange County?",
      "description": "Orange",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Orange: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Orange County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1097.7318,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "orange county",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton orange"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TFFF73QTC2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-SDIE",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win San Diego County?",
      "description": "San Diego",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "San Diego: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in San Diego County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10624.6899,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "primary",
        "san diego county",
        "steve hilton san"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-01Q5N8X004",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-RIVE",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win Riverside County?",
      "description": "Riverside",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Riverside: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Riverside County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 112.48049999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "primary",
        "riverside county",
        "steve hilton riverside"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5ZHY14V2P3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-SBER",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win San Bernardino County?",
      "description": "San Bernardino",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "San Bernardino: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in San Bernardino County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18.5286,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "primary",
        "san bernardino county",
        "steve hilton san"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TC64RSWCD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-FRES",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County?",
      "description": "Fresno",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Fresno: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Fresno County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 723.4821,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "fresno county",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton fresno"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7R88DMLB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-KERN",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win Kern County?",
      "description": "Kern",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kern: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Kern County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1266.21,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "california",
        "kern county",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton kern"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SCL1BVB8F1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-TULA",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win Tulare County?",
      "description": "Tulare",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tulare: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Tulare County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1018.6506,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton tulare",
        "tulare county"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CFV7TR1VF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-PLAC",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win Placer County?",
      "description": "Placer",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Placer: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Placer County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1102.2066,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "california",
        "placer county",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton placer"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GB1JPWL8J1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-EDOR",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win El Dorado County?",
      "description": "El Dorado",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "El Dorado: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in El Dorado County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3219.9156,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "california",
        "el dorado county",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton el"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2LR70JVPS7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021STSHIL-BUTT",
      "question": "Will Steve Hilton win Butte County?",
      "description": "Butte",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Butte: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton wins the first round of the 2026 California gubernatorial election in Butte County, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n\"Win\" means receiving a plurality of votes in the the June primary.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 965.5645999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "butte county",
        "california",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton butte"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6BQ3YLP920",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}