{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3S0N2HG2G4",
  "slug": "kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic primary margin of victory in CO-01 exceed 10 percentage points?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "primary-election",
    "colorado",
    "2026-election",
    "margin-of-victory"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the margin of victory for each candidate in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary. Kalshi prices margin of victory in discrete percentage-point tiers, spanning 0-3% through above 15%, for both Diana DeGette and Melat Kiros separately. The two candidate-specific sets are structurally parallel, letting traders express a view on both winner identity and winning margin simultaneously. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the Colorado Secretary of State's official certified primary results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VDHXRQV2Z4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WL2XNL0G85",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3S0N2HG2G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P1",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?",
      "description": "Diana DeGette, 0-3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Diana DeGette, 0-3%: The Colorado Secretary of State's official certified results for the 2026 Democratic primary election determine the named candidate's margin of victory, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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          }
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 33.9499,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "colorado",
        "degette",
        "democratic primary",
        "diana degette margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QX6V709491",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3S0N2HG2G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P4",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?",
      "description": "Diana DeGette, 3-6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Diana DeGette, 3-6%: The Colorado Secretary of State's official certified results for the 2026 Democratic primary election determine the named candidate's margin of victory, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 43.4988,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "colorado",
        "degette",
        "democratic primary",
        "diana degette margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7G39WMZCZ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3S0N2HG2G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P7",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?",
      "description": "Diana DeGette, 6-9%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Diana DeGette, 6-9%: The Colorado Secretary of State's official certified results for the 2026 Democratic primary election determine the named candidate's margin of victory, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 18.5425,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "colorado",
        "degette",
        "democratic primary",
        "diana degette margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WXF0P2Y9P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3S0N2HG2G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P10",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?",
      "description": "Diana DeGette, 9-12%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Diana DeGette, 9-12%: The Colorado Secretary of State's official certified results for the 2026 Democratic primary election determine the named candidate's margin of victory, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 80,
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      "volume_total_usd": 55.7192,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "colorado",
        "degette",
        "democratic primary",
        "diana degette margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H3Z8MR15J0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3S0N2HG2G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P13",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?",
      "description": "Diana DeGette, 12-15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Diana DeGette, 12-15%: The Colorado Secretary of State's official certified results for the 2026 Democratic primary election determine the named candidate's margin of victory, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 22.537100000000002,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "co-01",
        "colorado",
        "degette",
        "democratic primary",
        "diana degette margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D5SK1NCC56",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3S0N2HG2G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P57",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?",
      "description": "Diana DeGette, ≥15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Diana DeGette, ≥15%: The Colorado Secretary of State's official certified results for the 2026 Democratic primary election determine the named candidate's margin of victory, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 82.9242,
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      "tags": [
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        "co-01",
        "colorado",
        "degette",
        "democratic primary",
        "diana degette margin"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7GXV1LT212",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3S0N2HG2G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P1",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?",
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        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?",
      "description": "Melat Kiros, 12-15%",
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        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?",
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        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
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