{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
  "slug": "kxprimarymov-flprimary25d26",
  "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 5%?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "margin-of-victory",
    "congressional-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Jared Moskowitz's margin of victory in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary. Kalshi structures the event as ten discrete strike thresholds, ranging from 5% to 50% in five-point increments. The implied probability curve across strikes prices the magnitude of his win, not the binary outcome. Kalshi staff determination relies on certified results from Florida's official election authority.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K6WS9KV039",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.89,
    "implied_probability": 0.89
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K6WS9KV039",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P52",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 5%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥5%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 5% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3908.93,
      "volume_total_usd": 3908.93,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CK47VP3942",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P55",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 10%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥10%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.85,
      "implied_probability": 0.85,
      "volume_24h_usd": 871.37,
      "volume_total_usd": 871.37,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W9J8THRXB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P57",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 15%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥15%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 34.86,
      "volume_total_usd": 34.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FPKJJZ5H14",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P60",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 20%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥20%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.72,
      "implied_probability": 0.72,
      "volume_24h_usd": 796.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 796.29,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PV82Y2LR10",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P62",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 25%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥25%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 458.55,
      "volume_total_usd": 458.55,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TGMQK693H0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P65",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 30%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥30%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 31.63,
      "volume_total_usd": 93.01,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8S8QWW01S1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P67",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 35%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥35%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 35% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 42,
      "volume_total_usd": 210,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 35,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4KBVWNJNL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P70",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 40%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥40%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 40% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-172Z7SJ8N5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P72",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 45%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥45%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 45% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 45,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-936NRDGLK2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P75",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 50%?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥50%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz, ≥50%: The official election authority responsible for certifying results in the referenced geography will report the final margin of victory for the named candidate in the specified primary election, with Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXPRIMARYMOV, notice id ELECTIONMOV-bulk-2026-04-10):\n**Important information:** Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "fl-25",
        "jared moskowitz",
        "jared moskowitz fl",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-47SC7ZB7M9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}