{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G88VKQQH80",
  "slug": "kxprimarymov-govaznomr26",
  "question": "Will the Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory be determined?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "arizona-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "gubernatorial-election",
    "2027-election",
    "margin-of-victory"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Andy Biggs's margin of victory in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures the event as nine discrete strike thresholds, ranging from 10% to 50%, each resolving independently via Kalshi staff determination. Reading across strikes reveals an implied probability distribution over Biggs's final margin. Arizona's official election authorities certifying primary results serve as the authoritative source.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JTB8J6NW31",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CKVZ3X13R2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G88VKQQH80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P55",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 10%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥10%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
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      "tags": [
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        "gubernatorial",
        "margin",
        "primary",
        "republican"
      ],
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    },
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G88VKQQH80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P57",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 15%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥15%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 20%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥20%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
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        "republican"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6MXX5V9TH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G88VKQQH80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P62",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 25%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥25%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "tags": [
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        "gubernatorial",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TD2HDTZV30",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P65",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 30%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥30%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥30%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3P3RCSTVT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G88VKQQH80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P67",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 35%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥35%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥35%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 35% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "andy biggs arizona",
        "andy-biggs",
        "arizona",
        "gubernatorial",
        "margin",
        "primary",
        "republican"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-33853H5631",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G88VKQQH80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P70",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 40%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥40%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥40%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 40% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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      "tags": [
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        "andy biggs arizona",
        "andy-biggs",
        "arizona",
        "gubernatorial",
        "margin",
        "primary",
        "republican"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G88VKQQH80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P72",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 45%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥45%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥45%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
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        "republican"
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 50%?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs, ≥50%",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs, ≥50%: Official election authorities certifying Arizona primary results determine the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on or after July 21, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-21T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Andy Biggs minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses. If Andy Biggs wins, the margin will be positive; if Andy Biggs loses, the margin will be negative; if Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.",
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  "_provenance": {
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-G88VKQQH80",
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