{
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    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RXTWRF9G24",
  "slug": "kxprimarymov-govconomd26",
  "question": "Will the Colorado Democratic Governor primary margin of victory be greater than 10 percentage points?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "colorado-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "governor-race",
    "margin-of-victory"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the margin of victory for each candidate in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary. Kalshi structures both candidate sets identically: six discrete percentage-range tiers from 0-3% through 15% or greater. Colorado's official election authority provides the certified margin for Kalshi staff determination. Only one candidate can win, so the Bennet and Weiser tier sets are mutually exclusive by construction.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-12951QD1C4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XVTH0N6QX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RXTWRF9G24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVCONOMD26-MBEN-P1",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?",
      "description": "Michael Bennet, 0-3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Bennet, 0-3%: Colorado's official election authority certifies the margin of victory for the named candidate in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, with Kalshi staff determining if it falls within the specified range by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Michael Bennet minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Michael Bennet minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Michael Bennet wins, or the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Michael Bennet does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Bennet runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Michael Bennet will be summed.\n\nIf Michael Bennet wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Michael Bennet loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Michael Bennet ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Michael Bennet is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.3987,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "democratic primary",
        "governor",
        "margin 0-3%",
        "michael bennet margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P566H0MQK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RXTWRF9G24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVCONOMD26-MBEN-P4",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?",
      "description": "Michael Bennet, 3-6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Bennet, 3-6%: Colorado's official election authority certifies the margin of victory for the named candidate in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, with Kalshi staff determining if it falls within the specified range by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Michael Bennet minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Michael Bennet minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Michael Bennet wins, or the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Michael Bennet does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Bennet runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Michael Bennet will be summed.\n\nIf Michael Bennet wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Michael Bennet loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Michael Bennet ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Michael Bennet is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 40.9134,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "democratic primary",
        "governor",
        "margin 3-6%",
        "michael bennet margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5B7NWL75B9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RXTWRF9G24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVCONOMD26-MBEN-P7",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?",
      "description": "Michael Bennet, 6-9%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Bennet, 6-9%: Colorado's official election authority certifies the margin of victory for the named candidate in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, with Kalshi staff determining if it falls within the specified range by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Michael Bennet minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Michael Bennet minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Michael Bennet wins, or the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Michael Bennet does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Bennet runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Michael Bennet will be summed.\n\nIf Michael Bennet wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Michael Bennet loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Michael Bennet ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Michael Bennet is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 16.25,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "democratic primary",
        "governor",
        "margin 6-9%",
        "michael bennet margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0YL2H033Q2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RXTWRF9G24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVCONOMD26-MBEN-P10",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?",
      "description": "Michael Bennet, 9-12%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Bennet, 9-12%: Colorado's official election authority certifies the margin of victory for the named candidate in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, with Kalshi staff determining if it falls within the specified range by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Michael Bennet minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Michael Bennet minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Michael Bennet wins, or the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Michael Bennet does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Bennet runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Michael Bennet will be summed.\n\nIf Michael Bennet wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Michael Bennet loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Michael Bennet ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Michael Bennet is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 11.93,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "democratic primary",
        "governor",
        "margin 9-12%",
        "michael bennet margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FVNMN6QH67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RXTWRF9G24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVCONOMD26-MBEN-P13",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?",
      "description": "Michael Bennet, 12-15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Bennet, 12-15%: Colorado's official election authority certifies the margin of victory for the named candidate in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, with Kalshi staff determining if it falls within the specified range by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Michael Bennet minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Michael Bennet minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Michael Bennet wins, or the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Michael Bennet does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Bennet runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Michael Bennet will be summed.\n\nIf Michael Bennet wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Michael Bennet loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Michael Bennet ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Michael Bennet is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "democratic primary",
        "governor",
        "margin 12-15%",
        "michael bennet margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GF36DRRWY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RXTWRF9G24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVCONOMD26-MBEN-P57",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 15%?",
      "description": "Michael Bennet, ≥15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Bennet, ≥15%: Colorado's official election authority certifies the margin of victory for the named candidate in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, with Kalshi staff determining if it falls within the specified range by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Michael Bennet minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Michael Bennet minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Michael Bennet wins, or the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Michael Bennet does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Bennet runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Michael Bennet will be summed.\n\nIf Michael Bennet wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Michael Bennet loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Michael Bennet ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Michael Bennet is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 10.78,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "democratic primary",
        "governor",
        "margin ≥15%",
        "michael bennet margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5589V9F5N0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RXTWRF9G24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVCONOMD26-PWEI-P1",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?",
      "description": "Phil Weiser, 0-3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Phil Weiser, 0-3%: Colorado's official election authority certifies the margin of victory for the named candidate in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, with Kalshi staff determining if it falls within the specified range by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
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