{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
  "slug": "kxprimarymov-mayorla2026",
  "question": "Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 8%?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "los-angeles-politics",
    "mayoral-election-2026",
    "margin-of-victory",
    "first-round-voting",
    "karen-bass"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Kalshi prices discrete margin tiers for Bass, Raman, and Pratt across 4-percentage-point bands from 0% to 20% and above. Traders can express views on both candidate outcome and margin size simultaneously. The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder serves as the authoritative source, with Kalshi staff determination governing resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-260M7B3T02",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LY7GJQSXL6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P2",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 0% and 4%?",
      "description": "Karen Bass, 0-4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Karen Bass, 0-4%: The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder certifies the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by April 28, 2027, resolving Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.09,
      "volume_total_usd": 1061.1,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "karen bass",
        "karen bass margin",
        "los angeles mayor",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-260M7B3T02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P6",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 8%?",
      "description": "Karen Bass, 4-8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Karen Bass, 4-8%: The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder certifies the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by April 28, 2027, resolving Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 117.67,
      "volume_total_usd": 175333.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "karen bass",
        "karen bass margin",
        "los angeles mayor",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-612M3Y9X85",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P10",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 12%?",
      "description": "Karen Bass, 8-12%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Karen Bass, 8-12%: The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder certifies the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by April 28, 2027, resolving Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.04,
      "volume_total_usd": 877.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "karen bass",
        "karen bass margin",
        "los angeles mayor",
        "margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-10CFML1VX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P14",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 12% and 16%?",
      "description": "Karen Bass, 12-16%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Karen Bass, 12-16%: The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder certifies the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by April 28, 2027, resolving Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 20.57,
      "volume_total_usd": 252.56,
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      "tags": [
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        "karen bass",
        "karen bass margin",
        "los angeles mayor",
        "margin"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1L817W57P5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P18",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 16% and 20%?",
      "description": "Karen Bass, 16-20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Karen Bass, 16-20%: The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder certifies the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by April 28, 2027, resolving Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 164.41,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "karen bass",
        "karen bass margin",
        "los angeles mayor",
        "margin"
      ],
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5NQ84F11F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P60",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 20%?",
      "description": "Karen Bass, ≥20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Karen Bass, ≥20%: The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder certifies the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by April 28, 2027, resolving Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Karen Bass minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Karen Bass minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Karen Bass wins, or the electoral votes received by Karen Bass minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Karen Bass does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Karen Bass will be summed.\n\nIf Karen Bass wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Karen Bass loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Karen Bass is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 0% and 4%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 8%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 12%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 12% and 16%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 16% and 20%?",
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      "close_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 20%?",
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5XP5PYFNN2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-SPRA-P50",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 0%?",
      "description": "Spencer Pratt wins",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Spencer Pratt wins: The Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder certifies the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 mayoral election by April 28, 2027, resolving Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:11:41Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Spencer Pratt minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Spencer Pratt if Spencer Pratt wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Spencer Pratt loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Spencer Pratt minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Spencer Pratt if Spencer Pratt wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Spencer Pratt loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Spencer Pratt minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Spencer Pratt wins, or the electoral votes received by Spencer Pratt minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Spencer Pratt does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Spencer Pratt runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Spencer Pratt will be summed.\n\nIf Spencer Pratt wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Spencer Pratt loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Spencer Pratt ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Spencer Pratt is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1730.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "los angeles mayor",
        "margin",
        "spencer pratt",
        "spencer pratt margin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5XP5PYFNN2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2027-04-28T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.01,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-D63V66YZ42",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}