{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBNY84V476",
  "slug": "kxprimarymov-senatecod26",
  "question": "Will the Colorado Senate primary margin of victory be greater than 10 percentage points?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-primary",
    "colorado-politics",
    "election-margin",
    "2027",
    "democratic-primary"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track John Hickenlooper's margin of victory in the 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate primary. Kalshi structures the event as a strike ladder, with ten binary contracts at thresholds from 3% to 30%. The implied distribution of margin outcomes is read across the ladder by comparing prices at each strike. Colorado election officials provide the certified results used for Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V6HKP90DW3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V6HKP90DW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBNY84V476",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P51",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 3%?",
      "description": "John Hickenlooper, ≥3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Hickenlooper, ≥3%: Colorado election officials certify the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Senate primary by June 30, 2027, resolving outcomes based on whether the margin meets or exceeds 3 percentage points.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed.\n\nIf John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 239268.2985,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "hickenlooper",
        "john hickenlooper colorado",
        "primary",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-63VK176400",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBNY84V476",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P53",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 6%?",
      "description": "John Hickenlooper, ≥6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Hickenlooper, ≥6%: Colorado election officials certify the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Senate primary by June 30, 2027, resolving outcomes based on whether the margin meets or exceeds 3 percentage points.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed.\n\nIf John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1365.594,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "hickenlooper",
        "john hickenlooper colorado",
        "primary",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N9Y9376VZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBNY84V476",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P54",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 9%?",
      "description": "John Hickenlooper, ≥9%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: Colorado election officials certify the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Senate primary by June 30, 2027, resolving outcomes based on whether the margin meets or exceeds 3 percentage points.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 9% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed.\n\nIf John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11408.203300000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 9,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "hickenlooper",
        "john hickenlooper colorado",
        "primary",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4DM8J3MZG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBNY84V476",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P56",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 12%?",
      "description": "John Hickenlooper, ≥12%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Hickenlooper, ≥12%: Colorado election officials certify the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Senate primary by June 30, 2027, resolving outcomes based on whether the margin meets or exceeds 3 percentage points.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed.\n\nIf John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 129.127,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 12,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "hickenlooper",
        "john hickenlooper colorado",
        "primary",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VD7K3TKRQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBNY84V476",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P57",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 15%?",
      "description": "John Hickenlooper, ≥15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Hickenlooper, ≥15%: Colorado election officials certify the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Senate primary by June 30, 2027, resolving outcomes based on whether the margin meets or exceeds 3 percentage points.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed.\n\nIf John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 74.16850000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "hickenlooper",
        "john hickenlooper colorado",
        "primary",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5VNK2F2W79",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBNY84V476",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATECOD26-JHIC-P59",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 18%?",
      "description": "John Hickenlooper, ≥18%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Hickenlooper, ≥18%: Colorado election officials certify the named candidate's margin of victory in the 2026 Senate primary by June 30, 2027, resolving outcomes based on whether the margin meets or exceeds 3 percentage points.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 18% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed.\n\nIf John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 57.18430000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 18,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colorado",
        "hickenlooper",
        "john hickenlooper colorado",
        "primary",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PBY2KVY1C6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBNY84V476",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 21%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 24%?",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 27%?",
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        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 27% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed.\n\nIf John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
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      "question": "Will the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary be above 30%?",
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        "rules_raw": "If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed.\n\nIf John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
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