{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DL78V57W00",
  "slug": "kxprimaryplace-kxgovflnomr-4",
  "question": "Will the fourth-place finisher in the Florida Republican Governor primary be determined by August 18, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "republican-primary",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "fourth-place-finish"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate finishes fourth in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. Each Kalshi contract isolates one candidate: Collins, Donalds, Fishback, Renner, Rodriguez, or Williams. Exactly one resolves true; the set functions as a mutually exclusive, exhaustive field book. Resolution follows Florida Division of Elections certified results, confirmed via Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K1G2MNNJ43",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.77,
    "implied_probability": 0.77
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7SP7FT2TN4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DL78V57W00",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-4-JCOL",
      "question": "Will Jay Collins finish 4th in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Jay Collins",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jay Collins: The Division of Elections in Florida will certify the official primary election results by August 18, 2027, determining each candidate's final placement.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jay Collins finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 155.41,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "florida",
        "gubernatorial",
        "jay collins",
        "primary",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VX7BMDB608",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DL78V57W00",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-4-BDON",
      "question": "Will Byron Donalds finish 4th in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Byron Donalds",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Byron Donalds: The Division of Elections in Florida will certify the official primary election results by August 18, 2027, determining each candidate's final placement.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Byron Donalds finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "byron donalds",
        "florida",
        "gubernatorial",
        "primary",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VM5FGVY8B0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DL78V57W00",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-4-JFIS",
      "question": "Will James Fishback finish 4th in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "James Fishback",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "James Fishback: The Division of Elections in Florida will certify the official primary election results by August 18, 2027, determining each candidate's final placement.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If James Fishback finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 175.76,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "florida",
        "gubernatorial",
        "james fishback",
        "primary",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K1G2MNNJ43",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DL78V57W00",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-4-PREN",
      "question": "Will Paul Renner finish 4th in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Paul Renner",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Paul Renner: The Division of Elections in Florida will certify the official primary election results by August 18, 2027, determining each candidate's final placement.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Paul Renner finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 5593.77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "florida",
        "gubernatorial",
        "paul renner",
        "primary",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T26NQCYQ30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DL78V57W00",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-4-RROD",
      "question": "Will Rachel Rodriguez finish 4th in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Rachel Rodriguez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rachel Rodriguez: The Division of Elections in Florida will certify the official primary election results by August 18, 2027, determining each candidate's final placement.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rachel Rodriguez finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 81.25,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "florida",
        "gubernatorial",
        "primary",
        "rachel rodriguez",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBK4T0M8N2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DL78V57W00",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-4-BWIL",
      "question": "Will Bobby Williams finish 4th in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?",
      "description": "Bobby Williams",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bobby Williams: The Division of Elections in Florida will certify the official primary election results by August 18, 2027, determining each candidate's final placement.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bobby Williams finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bobby williams",
        "florida",
        "gubernatorial",
        "primary",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DL78V57W00",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}