{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KW32LYSWB7",
  "slug": "kxprimaryplace-senatemid26-2",
  "question": "Who will finish in second place in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "michigan-politics",
    "2026-primary",
    "democratic-primary",
    "senate-race",
    "second-place-finish"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track second-place finish in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary. Each Kalshi contract isolates one candidate: Mallory McMorrow, Abdul El-Sayed, or Haley Stevens. The contracts are mutually exclusive; only one can settle true. Resolution follows Michigan Secretary of State certified results via Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7NQSPXD0L2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.97,
    "implied_probability": 0.97
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D3ZDMVC1V0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KW32LYSWB7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-MMCM",
      "question": "Will Mallory McMorrow finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?",
      "description": "Mallory McMorrow",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mallory McMorrow: The Michigan Secretary of State's official Democratic primary election results, certified following the 2026 primary election, determine which candidate finishes second.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mallory McMorrow finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 176.5702,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "mallory mcmorrow",
        "michigan",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KW3B8ST0M3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KW32LYSWB7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-AELS",
      "question": "Will Abdul El-Sayed finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?",
      "description": "Abdul El-Sayed",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Abdul El-Sayed: The Michigan Secretary of State's official Democratic primary election results, certified following the 2026 primary election, determine which candidate finishes second.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Abdul El-Sayed finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 101.37700000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 723.5185000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "abdul el sayed",
        "democratic primary",
        "michigan",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7NQSPXD0L2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KW32LYSWB7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPRIMARYPLACE-SENATEMID26-2-HSTE",
      "question": "Will Haley Stevens finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?",
      "description": "Haley Stevens",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Haley Stevens: The Michigan Secretary of State's official Democratic primary election results, certified following the 2026 primary election, determine which candidate finishes second.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-04T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Haley Stevens finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1158.6553,
      "volume_total_usd": 20259.8662,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic primary",
        "haley stevens",
        "michigan",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KW32LYSWB7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}