{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WWYMBS6M78",
  "slug": "kxpultedni-26jul01",
  "question": "Will Bill Pulte be sworn in as Acting DNI?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "intelligence-community",
    "executive-appointment",
    "bill-pulte",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Bill Pulte will be sworn in as Acting Director of National Intelligence by three sequential deadlines: June 20, July 1, and July 7, 2026. All three are Kalshi binary contracts with staggered expiries, creating a term-structure view on appointment timing. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination using New York Times public reporting as the authoritative source. Later-dated contracts embed the probability mass of earlier ones, so spread pricing across the three strikes implies a market-implied appointment hazard rate.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B2TBZBZ1W5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6W1J3F9MZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WWYMBS6M78",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPULTEDNI-26JUL01-0620",
      "question": "Will Bill Pulte formally hold the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before June 20, 2026?",
      "description": "Before June 20, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before June 20, 2026: The New York Times, accessed by Kalshi staff through its public reporting, determines whether the named candidate formally held the specified role, resolving by July 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-19T14:11:14Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-19T14:11:14Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Pulte formally holds the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before June 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, \"the Bill Pulte formally holds the Acting Director of National Intelligence\" means that the Bill Pulte has assumed the Acting Director of National Intelligence in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or an acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role, unless otherwise specified by the Exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NYT",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com/section/todayspaper",
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        "source_of_record": "NYT",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2866.15,
      "volume_total_usd": 3145.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "acting director",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B2TBZBZ1W5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WWYMBS6M78",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPULTEDNI-26JUL01",
      "question": "Will Bill Pulte formally hold the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before July 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 1, 2026: The New York Times, accessed by Kalshi staff through its public reporting, determines whether the named candidate formally held the specified role, resolving by July 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-19T14:11:22Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-19T14:11:22Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Pulte formally holds the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, \"the Bill Pulte formally holds the Acting Director of National Intelligence\" means that the Bill Pulte has assumed the Acting Director of National Intelligence in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or an acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role, unless otherwise specified by the Exchange.",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6405.12,
      "volume_total_usd": 12270.09,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8PPG725828",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WWYMBS6M78",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXPULTEDNI-26JUL01-07",
      "question": "Will Bill Pulte formally hold the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before July 7, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 7, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 7, 2026: The New York Times, accessed by Kalshi staff through its public reporting, determines whether the named candidate formally held the specified role, resolving by July 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-19T14:11:28Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-19T14:11:28Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Pulte formally holds the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before July 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, \"the Bill Pulte formally holds the Acting Director of National Intelligence\" means that the Bill Pulte has assumed the Acting Director of National Intelligence in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or an acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role, unless otherwise specified by the Exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3492.04,
      "volume_total_usd": 7539.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "acting director",
        "bill pulte",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8PPG725828",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-19T14:41:28.493061Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B2TBZBZ1W5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-19T14:41:28.492591Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6W1J3F9MZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-19T14:41:18.490188Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WWYMBS6M78",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}