{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-85749XJVP4",
  "slug": "kxquebecassembly-26oct05",
  "question": "Will the Quebec Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Quebec National Assembly election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "quebec-politics",
    "canadian-elections",
    "national-assembly",
    "2027",
    "electoral-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winning party in the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election. Kalshi lists five binary contracts, one per party: CAQ, PLQ, QS, PQ, and PCQ. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official Quebec electoral results. Exactly one contract will settle yes; the rest settle no.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3P6GL264Y3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.65,
    "implied_probability": 0.65,
    "as_of": "2026-08-29T00:01:25.253Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JC5Z48C252",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-85749XJVP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXQUEBECASSEMBLY-26OCT05-CAQ",
      "question": "Will CAQ win the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election?",
      "description": "CAQ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "CAQ: The named political party's election victory resolves by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from Quebec's electoral authority, due October 12, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-05T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-12T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the CAQ wins the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T00:01:25.253Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 223.16000000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 2577.6800000000003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "caq",
        "election",
        "quebec"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FRPZQPFWQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-85749XJVP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXQUEBECASSEMBLY-26OCT05-PLQ",
      "question": "Will PLQ win the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election?",
      "description": "PLQ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "PLQ: The named political party's election victory resolves by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from Quebec's electoral authority, due October 12, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-05T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-12T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the PLQ wins the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T01:01:11.017Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 101.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 1100.4464,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "election",
        "plq",
        "quebec"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HS7FX72411",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-85749XJVP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXQUEBECASSEMBLY-26OCT05-QS",
      "question": "Will QS win the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election?",
      "description": "QS",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "QS: The named political party's election victory resolves by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from Quebec's electoral authority, due October 12, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-05T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-12T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the QS wins the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.36,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "election",
        "qs",
        "quebec"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3P6GL264Y3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-85749XJVP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXQUEBECASSEMBLY-26OCT05-PQ",
      "question": "Will PQ win the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election?",
      "description": "PQ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "PQ: The named political party's election victory resolves by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from Quebec's electoral authority, due October 12, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-05T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-12T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the PQ wins the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.65,
      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T00:01:25.253Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 111.15,
      "volume_total_usd": 10437.5895,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "election",
        "pq",
        "quebec"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PJRL538273",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-85749XJVP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXQUEBECASSEMBLY-26OCT05-PCQ",
      "question": "Will PCQ win the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election?",
      "description": "PCQ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "PCQ: The named political party's election victory resolves by Kalshi staff determination based on official results from Quebec's electoral authority, due October 12, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-05T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-12T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the PCQ wins the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "tags": [
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-85749XJVP4",
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}