{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG26CLGK20",
  "slug": "kxrace-26julship",
  "question": "Ferrari N.V. report total number of car shipments in Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      3450,
      3500
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 3300,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3350,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3400,
        "prob": 78
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3450,
        "prob": 50
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3500,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3550,
        "prob": 7
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "ferrari",
    "automotive-sales",
    "q2-2026",
    "shipments-volume",
    "luxury-vehicles"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Ferrari N.V.'s total car shipments reported for Q2 2026. Kalshi structures six binary strike thresholds ranging from 3,300 to 3,550 units. The spread across strikes lets traders express a precise shipment range, not just a directional view. Kalshi staff determination sources the count from Fiscal.ai, verified against Ferrari's official Q2 2026 earnings disclosure, with resolution by August 29, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-R52Y6M58R0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.14,
    "implied_probability": 0.14
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG26CLGK20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3300",
      "question": "Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3300 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3300",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3300: The listed company's Q2 2026 car shipment count from Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff determination by August 29, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3300 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 1233.232,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3300,
      "question_id": "CMX-EB2687279D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ferrari",
        "ferrari q2 shipments",
        "q2-2026",
        "shipments"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZSBPD07WV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG26CLGK20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3350",
      "question": "Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3350 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3350",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3350: The listed company's Q2 2026 car shipment count from Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff determination by August 29, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3350 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3350,
      "question_id": "CMX-2D0354455E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ferrari",
        "ferrari q2 shipments",
        "q2-2026",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z3WL7CGCC2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG26CLGK20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3400",
      "question": "Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3400 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3400",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3400: The listed company's Q2 2026 car shipment count from Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff determination by August 29, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3400 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.78,
      "implied_probability": 0.78,
      "volume_24h_usd": 29.5386,
      "volume_total_usd": 2040.8621999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3400,
      "question_id": "CMX-DAD971709E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ferrari",
        "ferrari q2 shipments",
        "q2-2026",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1G0ZQK45J9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG26CLGK20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3450",
      "question": "Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3450 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3450",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3450: The listed company's Q2 2026 car shipment count from Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff determination by August 29, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3450 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "sources": [
          {
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.965,
      "volume_total_usd": 851.415,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3450,
      "question_id": "CMX-8A2439525D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ferrari",
        "ferrari q2 shipments",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R52Y6M58R0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG26CLGK20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3500",
      "question": "Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3500 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3500: The listed company's Q2 2026 car shipment count from Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff determination by August 29, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3500 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.14,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 14.280000000000001,
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      "threshold": 3500,
      "question_id": "CMX-5DEDCE93E0",
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      "tags": [
        "ferrari",
        "ferrari q2 shipments",
        "q2-2026",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W8GW124047",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JG26CLGK20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3550",
      "question": "Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3550 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3550",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3550: The listed company's Q2 2026 car shipment count from Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff determination by August 29, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T11:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "tags": [
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        "ferrari q2 shipments",
        "q2-2026",
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JG26CLGK20",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}