{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
  "slug": "kxrainausm-26jul",
  "question": "Will it rain in Austin in July 2026?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-precipitation",
    "austin-texas",
    "july-2026",
    "local-climate",
    "binary-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total monthly precipitation in Austin, Texas for July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as seven discrete strike thresholds, from above 1 inch to above 7 inches, forming an implied distribution of outcomes. Each tier resolves via Kalshi staff determination using National Weather Service monthly precipitation data. Markets close August 1, 2026 and resolve by August 16, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N4HZPMJQQ9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N4HZPMJQQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINAUSM-26JUL-1",
      "question": "Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1 inch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1 inch: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether July 2026 rainfall exceeded one inch, by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIAUS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Austin Bergstrom\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 98.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 11437.9452,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin rainfall",
        "precipitation",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WW81J4TWD7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINAUSM-26JUL-2",
      "question": "Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether July 2026 rainfall exceeded one inch, by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIAUS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Austin Bergstrom\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3701.0952,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin rainfall",
        "precipitation",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-20N0H38DZ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINAUSM-26JUL-3",
      "question": "Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether July 2026 rainfall exceeded one inch, by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIAUS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Austin Bergstrom\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.4584,
      "volume_total_usd": 136.21540000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin rainfall",
        "precipitation",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0NPHWR52C4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINAUSM-26JUL-4",
      "question": "Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether July 2026 rainfall exceeded one inch, by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIAUS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Austin Bergstrom\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 72.7568,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin rainfall",
        "precipitation",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M9FVWD88D4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINAUSM-26JUL-5",
      "question": "Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether July 2026 rainfall exceeded one inch, by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIAUS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Austin Bergstrom\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.5961,
      "volume_total_usd": 59.4534,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin rainfall",
        "precipitation",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5RKZ01QYQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINAUSM-26JUL-6",
      "question": "Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 6 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether July 2026 rainfall exceeded one inch, by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIAUS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Austin Bergstrom\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.6122000000000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin rainfall",
        "precipitation",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NCKD5RYQK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINAUSM-26JUL-7",
      "question": "Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 7 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 7 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether July 2026 rainfall exceeded one inch, by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 7 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIAUS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Austin Bergstrom\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 24.28,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin rainfall",
        "precipitation",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9GC7Q1BZF7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}