{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
  "slug": "kxraindenm-26jul",
  "question": "Rain in Denver in Jul 2026",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1,
      2
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 80
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 10
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-precipitation",
    "denver-location",
    "summer-seasonal",
    "2026",
    "monthly-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total precipitation in Denver during July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds, from above 1 inch through above 7 inches. Each contract resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination using National Weather Service precipitation data. Traders can construct a cumulative distribution across the full rainfall range.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6WZB500X6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.15,
    "implied_probability": 0.15
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GBCS30V1P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUL-1",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1 inch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1 inch: National Weather Service total precipitation data for Denver in July 2026, determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 99.4336,
      "volume_total_usd": 13634.6576,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver rainfall july",
        "precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6WZB500X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUL-2",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2 inches: National Weather Service total precipitation data for Denver in July 2026, determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 159.3825,
      "volume_total_usd": 3085.575,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver rainfall july",
        "precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2PZ7PYGJR3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUL-3",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3 inches: National Weather Service total precipitation data for Denver in July 2026, determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.34,
      "volume_total_usd": 209.6661,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver rainfall july",
        "precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7HD0YHMX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUL-4",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4 inches: National Weather Service total precipitation data for Denver in July 2026, determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23.7841,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver rainfall july",
        "precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-464N34GW13",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUL-5",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5 inches: National Weather Service total precipitation data for Denver in July 2026, determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.0001,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.0634,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver rainfall july",
        "precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NSK3RYX6V6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUL-6",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 6 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6 inches: National Weather Service total precipitation data for Denver in July 2026, determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.0001,
      "volume_total_usd": 7.0315,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver rainfall july",
        "precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3V84BCCR06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUL-7",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 7 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 7 inches: National Weather Service total precipitation data for Denver in July 2026, determined by Kalshi staff review, resolves by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 7 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 28.3613,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver rainfall july",
        "precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BDMKDVDSM1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}