{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
  "slug": "kxraindenm-26jun",
  "question": "Rainfall in Denver, June 2026",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1,
      2
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 65
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 23
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-precipitation",
    "denver-colorado",
    "june-2026",
    "climate-forecasting",
    "meteorological-conditions"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total precipitation in Denver during June 2026 against seven discrete inch thresholds. Each Kalshi contract is a binary resolved at a different strike level, from above 1 inch to above 7 inches, forming an implied cumulative distribution. The National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for Denver is the authoritative source. Kalshi staff determination applies across all seven contracts, settling by July 16, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BCMQ0P53B1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.23,
    "implied_probability": 0.23
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Z5X56PH33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUN-1",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1 inch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1 inch: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether the specified threshold was exceeded during the stated month, determined by Kalshi staff by 2026-07-16.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.65,
      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2643.06,
      "volume_total_usd": 11676.96,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "denver",
        "denver june precipitation",
        "june",
        "precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BCMQ0P53B1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUN-2",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether the specified threshold was exceeded during the stated month, determined by Kalshi staff by 2026-07-16.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 42.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 1603.66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "denver",
        "denver june precipitation",
        "june",
        "precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RF0LN7YPX9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUN-3",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether the specified threshold was exceeded during the stated month, determined by Kalshi staff by 2026-07-16.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.31,
      "volume_total_usd": 443.47,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "denver",
        "denver june precipitation",
        "june",
        "precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2RXTBZ2808",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUN-4",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether the specified threshold was exceeded during the stated month, determined by Kalshi staff by 2026-07-16.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 79.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "denver",
        "denver june precipitation",
        "june",
        "precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R6RMY2TZ29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUN-5",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether the specified threshold was exceeded during the stated month, determined by Kalshi staff by 2026-07-16.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 69.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "denver",
        "denver june precipitation",
        "june",
        "precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P1ZTV9TQT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUN-6",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 6 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether the specified threshold was exceeded during the stated month, determined by Kalshi staff by 2026-07-16.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.31,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "denver",
        "denver june precipitation",
        "june",
        "precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NLF0CR3R12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINDENM-26JUN-7",
      "question": "Rain in Denver in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 7 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 7 inches: National Weather Service monthly precipitation data for the referenced location resolves whether the specified threshold was exceeded during the stated month, determined by Kalshi staff by 2026-07-16.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIDEN in Denver in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 7 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDEN can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Denver, CO\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "denver",
        "denver june precipitation",
        "june",
        "precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-H40GBJ78S8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}