{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
  "slug": "kxrainmiam-26aug",
  "question": "Rainfall in Miami, August 2026",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      8,
      9
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6,
        "prob": 83
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7,
        "prob": 61
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8,
        "prob": 53
      },
      {
        "threshold": 9,
        "prob": 30
      },
      {
        "threshold": 10,
        "prob": 20
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-rain",
    "miami-florida",
    "august-2026",
    "precipitation",
    "climate-events"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Miami's total August 2026 rainfall against ten discrete inch thresholds. Each Kalshi contract is a binary strike: yes if the monthly total exceeds that threshold, no otherwise. The ten strikes together form an implied cumulative distribution of August rainfall. Kalshi staff determination uses the National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CB18LWF1Q1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2YTN8LMTD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-1",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1 inch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1 inch: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CLIMIA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 175.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "miami",
        "miami rainfall",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-92VJCFKG53",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-2",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CLIMIA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 149.49,
      "volume_total_usd": 150.48,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "miami",
        "miami rainfall",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7S5R2Y5CF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-3",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CLIMIA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7.96,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "miami",
        "miami rainfall",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LGDGNY0WJ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-4",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CLIMIA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 58.67,
      "volume_total_usd": 101.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "miami",
        "miami rainfall",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q4ZCF7R853",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-5",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CLIMIA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 111.91,
      "volume_total_usd": 417.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "miami",
        "miami rainfall",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B9YL85TDZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-6",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 6 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CLIMIA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 559.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 1616.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "miami",
        "miami rainfall",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MM12SJVQJ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-7",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 7 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 7 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 7 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CLIMIA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.61,
      "implied_probability": 0.61,
      "volume_24h_usd": 790.49,
      "volume_total_usd": 2404.63,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-8",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 8 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 8 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 8 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 158.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 1675.37,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 9 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 9 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 9 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 95.59,
      "volume_total_usd": 686.35,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 9,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "miami",
        "miami rainfall",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SB8YM01WZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINMIAM-26AUG-10",
      "question": "Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 10 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 10 inches: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for August 2026 determines rainfall total; market resolves September 16, 2026 if precipitation exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 10 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Miami, FL\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "CLIMIA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 75.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 352.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "miami",
        "miami rainfall",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YJD6W799H0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}