{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q01H0VJK85",
  "slug": "kxrainnycm-26aug",
  "question": "Rainfall in New York City, August 2026",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
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      6
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    "strikes": [
      {
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        "prob": 99
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      {
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        "prob": 99
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      {
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        "prob": 96
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        "prob": 86
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        "prob": 56
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      {
        "threshold": 6,
        "prob": 35
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      {
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        "prob": 17
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  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-nyc",
    "precipitation",
    "august-2026",
    "climate-observation",
    "binary-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total August 2026 precipitation in New York City against seven discrete inch thresholds. All seven contracts share a single-platform structure: Kalshi prices cumulative rainfall exceedance at sequential strike levels from 1 to 7 inches. The authoritative source is the National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York, with Kalshi staff determination as the resolution mechanism. Markets close September 1, 2026 and resolve September 7, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-67NLWSWTD6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.35
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q01H0VJK85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26AUG-1",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether August 2026 precipitation exceeded 4 inches, with determination by Kalshi staff by September 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
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          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0.99,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "rain",
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26AUG-2",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 2 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether August 2026 precipitation exceeded 4 inches, with determination by Kalshi staff by September 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q01H0VJK85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26AUG-3",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether August 2026 precipitation exceeded 4 inches, with determination by Kalshi staff by September 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1.92,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "august",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H42W6W1ZG6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q01H0VJK85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26AUG-4",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether August 2026 precipitation exceeded 4 inches, with determination by Kalshi staff by September 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
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      "last_price": 0.86,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 920.06,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 4,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7KQQRMGWX9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q01H0VJK85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26AUG-5",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5 low_inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5 low_inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether August 2026 precipitation exceeded 4 inches, with determination by Kalshi staff by September 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26AUG-6",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Above 6 low_inches",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6 low_inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether August 2026 precipitation exceeded 4 inches, with determination by Kalshi staff by September 7, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Aug 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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      "question": "Rain in NYC in Aug 2026?",
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        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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