{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J6KGGFFKG4",
  "slug": "kxrainnycm-26jul",
  "question": "Will it rain in New York City during July 2026?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "nyc-weather",
    "precipitation",
    "july-2026",
    "climate-monitoring",
    "us-northeast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total July 2026 precipitation in New York City against discrete inch thresholds. Kalshi offers seven binary strikes ranging from above 1 inch to above 7 inches, structuring the event as a threshold ladder rather than a single outcome. Traders can imply a probability distribution for monthly rainfall by comparing prices across adjacent strikes. The National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York is the authoritative source, with Kalshi staff determination applied at resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4409WMRK47",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.95,
    "implied_probability": 0.95
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J6KGGFFKG4",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUL-1",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether July 2026 precipitation exceeded the specified threshold by August 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether July 2026 precipitation exceeded the specified threshold by August 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J6KGGFFKG4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUL-3",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether July 2026 precipitation exceeded the specified threshold by August 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 92.5749,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4409WMRK47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J6KGGFFKG4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUL-4",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether July 2026 precipitation exceeded the specified threshold by August 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1667.1264999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 29979.548999999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z0VW4GHWR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J6KGGFFKG4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUL-5",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5 low_inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5 low_inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether July 2026 precipitation exceeded the specified threshold by August 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
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        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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      "last_price": 0.85,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 878.849,
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      "threshold": 5,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FJ7JRJD6P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J6KGGFFKG4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUL-6",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 6 low_inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6 low_inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether July 2026 precipitation exceeded the specified threshold by August 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUL-7",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 7 low_inches",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 7 low_inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether July 2026 precipitation exceeded the specified threshold by August 7, 2026.",
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        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
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