{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0PYJCJQDV3",
  "slug": "kxrainnycm-26jun",
  "question": "Will it rain in New York City in June 2026?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-precipitation",
    "nyc-metro",
    "monthly-forecast",
    "2026",
    "climate-monitoring"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track June 2026 total precipitation in New York City across four strike thresholds: 1, 2, 3, and 4 inches. The tiered structure lets participants express a view on precipitation magnitude, not merely a binary wet-or-dry outcome. All four contracts resolve via Kalshi staff determination using the National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York. The cascading threshold design means higher-strike contracts are logically bounded by lower-strike probabilities.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1H634X1FR4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1H634X1FR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0PYJCJQDV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUN-1",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether June 2026 precipitation exceeded 1 inch, determined by Kalshi staff by July 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 71.17,
      "volume_total_usd": 5845.69,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5MJ1XN4980",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0PYJCJQDV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUN-2",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether June 2026 precipitation exceeded 1 inch, determined by Kalshi staff by July 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 118.79,
      "volume_total_usd": 2002.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-03VF1Y8M87",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0PYJCJQDV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUN-3",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether June 2026 precipitation exceeded 1 inch, determined by Kalshi staff by July 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 163.66,
      "volume_total_usd": 2476.09,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GY8C3BP264",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0PYJCJQDV3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINNYCM-26JUN-4",
      "question": "Rain in NYC in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4 inches: National Weather Service Climatological Report for New York resolves whether June 2026 precipitation exceeded 1 inch, determined by Kalshi staff by July 7, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NWS Climatological Report NY",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 190.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 1044.77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc precipitation",
        "rainfall",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1H634X1FR4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T21:21:38.478878Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5MJ1XN4980",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T21:21:38.478878Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-03VF1Y8M87",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T21:21:38.478878Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GY8C3BP264",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T21:21:38.478878Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0PYJCJQDV3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}