{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
  "slug": "kxrainseam-26jul",
  "question": "Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      1
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 12
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "seattle",
    "precipitation",
    "weather",
    "2026-summer",
    "pacific-northwest"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total precipitation in Seattle during July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of discrete strike thresholds, from above 1 inch to above 7 inches, each resolving independently. This gives traders a cumulative distribution of rainfall outcomes rather than a single binary. National Weather Service data for the relevant location is the authoritative source, assessed via Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KBZK08HSL9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.03,
    "implied_probability": 0.03
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KBZK08HSL9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINSEAM-26JUL-1",
      "question": "Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1 inch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1 inch: National Weather Service data for the referenced location during the specified month, assessed by Kalshi staff by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Seattle-Tacoma, WA\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 92.22359999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 3065.7864,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "rainfall",
        "seattle",
        "seattle precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-63CKM8FSR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINSEAM-26JUL-2",
      "question": "Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2 inches: National Weather Service data for the referenced location during the specified month, assessed by Kalshi staff by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Seattle-Tacoma, WA\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 51.0453,
      "volume_total_usd": 884.0921000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "rainfall",
        "seattle",
        "seattle precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PXBK0CWCV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINSEAM-26JUL-3",
      "question": "Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3 inches: National Weather Service data for the referenced location during the specified month, assessed by Kalshi staff by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Seattle-Tacoma, WA\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.2156000000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 529.1850000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "rainfall",
        "seattle",
        "seattle precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YV4NLZC2K7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINSEAM-26JUL-4",
      "question": "Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4 inches: National Weather Service data for the referenced location during the specified month, assessed by Kalshi staff by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Seattle-Tacoma, WA\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 137.5289,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "rainfall",
        "seattle",
        "seattle precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DF0Z7TS7N8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINSEAM-26JUL-5",
      "question": "Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5 inches: National Weather Service data for the referenced location during the specified month, assessed by Kalshi staff by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Seattle-Tacoma, WA\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.08,
      "volume_total_usd": 126.19930000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "rainfall",
        "seattle",
        "seattle precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TBS1ZWRLC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINSEAM-26JUL-6",
      "question": "Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 6 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6 inches: National Weather Service data for the referenced location during the specified month, assessed by Kalshi staff by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Seattle-Tacoma, WA\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 65.2654,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "rainfall",
        "seattle",
        "seattle precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L37KMDJFX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRAINSEAM-26JUL-7",
      "question": "Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Above 7 inches",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 7 inches: National Weather Service data for the referenced location during the specified month, assessed by Kalshi staff by August 16, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 7 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Seattle-Tacoma, WA\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Weather Service",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.weather.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service",
            "url": "https://www.weather.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 82.4115,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "rainfall",
        "seattle",
        "seattle precipitation",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6T714G68V7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}