{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KFH2CHVLD9",
  "slug": "kxrddt-26juldau",
  "question": "Reddit daily active uniques, July 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      131000000,
      131500000
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    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 128000000,
        "prob": 96
      },
      {
        "threshold": 129000000,
        "prob": 89
      },
      {
        "threshold": 130000000,
        "prob": 77
      },
      {
        "threshold": 131000000,
        "prob": 65
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      {
        "threshold": 131500000,
        "prob": 44
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      {
        "threshold": 132000000,
        "prob": 26
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      {
        "threshold": 133000000,
        "prob": 10
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      {
        "threshold": 134000000,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 135000000,
        "prob": 5
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      {
        "threshold": 136000000,
        "prob": 3
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    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "reddit-dau",
    "q2-2026",
    "user-engagement",
    "social-media",
    "financial-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Reddit Inc.'s reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a strike ladder, pricing binary yes/no outcomes at thresholds from 128 million to 136 million. The ladder collectively implies a market-consensus probability distribution over the reported figure. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination, sourced via Fiscal.ai against Reddit's official quarterly disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WJGGD7CMJ6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.32,
    "implied_probability": 0.32
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 128 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 128 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 128 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports above 128000000 daily active uniques in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 128000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-63D53A0B4A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dau",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 129 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "above 129 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDT-26JULDAU-P130000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 130 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "above 130 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDT-26JULDAU-P131000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 131 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 131 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 131 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "dau",
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        "reddit daily active",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WJGGD7CMJ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KFH2CHVLD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDT-26JULDAU-131500000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 131.5 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 131.5 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 131.5 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDT-26JULDAU-P132000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 132 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 132 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 132 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 133 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "above 133 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDT-26JULDAU-P134000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 134 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 134 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 134 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports above 134000000 daily active uniques in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDT-26JULDAU-P135000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 135 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "above 135 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports above 135000000 daily active uniques in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 225.15,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 135000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7841140DDA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dau",
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        "reddit daily active",
        "user-engagement"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0HD1MZB6F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KFH2CHVLD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDT-26JULDAU-P136000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report above 136 million daily active uniques in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 136 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 136 million: The listed company's reported daily active uniques for Q2 2026 per Fiscal.ai, verified by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports above 136000000 daily active uniques in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "question_id": "CMX-6BDEFCF65C",
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      "tags": [
        "dau",
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        "reddit daily active",
        "user-engagement"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          ],
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        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KFH2CHVLD9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}