{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
  "slug": "kxrddta-28jandau",
  "question": "Reddit Inc. report million daily active uniques in 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      140000000,
      142000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 136000000,
        "prob": 95
      },
      {
        "threshold": 138000000,
        "prob": 77
      },
      {
        "threshold": 140000000,
        "prob": 61
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      {
        "threshold": 142000000,
        "prob": 42
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      {
        "threshold": 144000000,
        "prob": 27
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      {
        "threshold": 146000000,
        "prob": 23
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      {
        "threshold": 148000000,
        "prob": 13
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      {
        "threshold": 150000000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 152000000,
        "prob": 2
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      {
        "threshold": 154000000,
        "prob": 3
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    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "reddit",
    "daily-active-users",
    "social-media-metrics",
    "user-engagement",
    "2028-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Reddit Inc.'s full-year 2026 daily active unique user count against ten discrete strike thresholds. The strikes range from 136 million to 154 million in 2-million increments, forming a synthetic probability distribution across the DAU range. The implied market consensus sits where cumulative probabilities transition from above 50% to below 50% across adjacent strikes. Kalshi staff determination relies on Fiscal.ai's aggregation of Reddit's reported figures, introducing a secondary sourcing layer between Reddit's official disclosure and final settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VKNGC42JC1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.42
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 136 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 136000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "threshold": 136000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BDCBF86FA1",
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      "tags": [
        "dau",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 138 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 140 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
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      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VKNGC42JC1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-142000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 142 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 142 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 142 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 142000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "threshold": 142000000,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7F9W5DCY36",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-144000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 144 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 144 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 144000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 146 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 146 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 146 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 146000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question_id": "CMX-C117DB3666",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 148 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 150 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 152 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 152 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 152 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 152000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 154 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
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}