{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
  "slug": "kxrddta-28jandau",
  "question": "Reddit daily active uniques, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      142000000,
      144000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 136000000,
        "prob": 90
      },
      {
        "threshold": 138000000,
        "prob": 76
      },
      {
        "threshold": 140000000,
        "prob": 58
      },
      {
        "threshold": 142000000,
        "prob": 50
      },
      {
        "threshold": 144000000,
        "prob": 28
      },
      {
        "threshold": 146000000,
        "prob": 23
      },
      {
        "threshold": 148000000,
        "prob": 13
      },
      {
        "threshold": 150000000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 152000000,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 154000000,
        "prob": 3
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "reddit",
    "daily-active-users",
    "social-media-metrics",
    "user-engagement",
    "2028-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Reddit Inc.'s full-year 2026 daily active unique user count against ten discrete strike thresholds. The strikes range from 136 million to 154 million in 2-million increments, forming a synthetic probability distribution across the DAU range. The implied market consensus sits where cumulative probabilities transition from above 50% to below 50% across adjacent strikes. Kalshi staff determination relies on Fiscal.ai's aggregation of Reddit's reported figures, introducing a secondary sourcing layer between Reddit's official disclosure and final settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7F9W5DCY36",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.36,
    "implied_probability": 0.36,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZBXYK2QDM9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-136000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 136 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 136 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 136 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 136000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1472.7600000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 136000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BDCBF86FA1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dau",
        "reddit",
        "reddit daily active",
        "user-engagement"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "cluster": "company_metrics"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0G2NQMN5Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-138000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 138 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 138 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 138 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 138000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question_id": "CMX-C687B810B3",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-140000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 140 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 140 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 140 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 140000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.56,
      "implied_probability": 0.56,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T20:00:42.462Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "threshold": 140000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-267BAB9920",
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        "dau",
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        "reddit daily active",
        "user-engagement"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VKNGC42JC1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-142000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 142 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 142 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 142 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 142000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "threshold": 142000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1E538EDDBB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dau",
        "reddit",
        "reddit daily active",
        "user-engagement"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7F9W5DCY36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-144000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 144 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 144 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 144 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 144000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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        "dau",
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        "reddit daily active",
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        {
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VRSWJ3BFG6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-146000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 146 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 146 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 146 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 146000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "dau",
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        "reddit daily active",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-148000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 148 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 148 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 148 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 148000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4H00P5K9P2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VBKFYH0PJ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-150000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 150 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 150 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 150 million: Fiscal.ai reporting of the listed company's reported daily active uniques for 2026 resolves by Kalshi staff determination, with deadline March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Reddit Inc. reports Above 150000000 daily active uniques in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRDDTA-28JANDAU-152000000",
      "question": "Will Reddit Inc. report Above 152 million daily active uniques in 2026?",
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