{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2SD2M7K3L4",
  "slug": "kxreproductivemeasures-26",
  "question": "Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "abortion-rights",
    "ballot-measures",
    "us-elections",
    "reproductive-policy",
    "state-referendums"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These three Kalshi markets track 2027 ballot outcomes on abortion-related constitutional measures in Nevada, Virginia, and Missouri. All three resolve via Kalshi staff determination against official state election results. Each market is structured as a binary outcome question on whether the measure passes. Resolution is set for November 3, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GP1FT54K22",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.946,
    "implied_probability": 0.946
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RNBR0ZKGR0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2SD2M7K3L4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXREPRODUCTIVEMEASURES-26-NV",
      "question": "Will Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion Initiative) in Nevada pass?",
      "description": "Nevada Question 6",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nevada Question 6: Virginia's proposed constitutional amendment resolves based on official election results reported by The Wall Street Journal by November 3, 2027, 3 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion Initiative), which would establish a right to abortion in the state constitution in Nevada passes, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Wall Street Journal",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.wsj.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS News",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN International",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC News",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC News",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC News",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government website of geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.987,
      "implied_probability": 0.987,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21.0231,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "abortion",
        "ballot measure",
        "nevada",
        "nevada question abortion"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GP1FT54K22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2SD2M7K3L4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXREPRODUCTIVEMEASURES-26-VA",
      "question": "Will the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment in Virginia pass?",
      "description": "Virginia HJR 1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Virginia HJR 1: Virginia's proposed constitutional amendment resolves based on official election results reported by The Wall Street Journal by November 3, 2027, 3 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, which would establish a fundamental right to abortion, contraception, and IVF in Virginia passes, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Wall Street Journal",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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          {
            "name": "CBS News",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN International",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC News",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC News",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC News",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government website of geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.946,
      "implied_probability": 0.946,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5285.718239999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "abortion",
        "ballot measure",
        "virginia",
        "virginia hjr reproductive"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4X36V77R04",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2SD2M7K3L4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXREPRODUCTIVEMEASURES-26-MO",
      "question": "Will Missouri Amendment 3 in Missouri pass?",
      "description": "Missouri Amendment 3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Missouri Amendment 3: Virginia's proposed constitutional amendment resolves based on official election results reported by The Wall Street Journal by November 3, 2027, 3 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Missouri Amendment 3, which would repeal abortion protections and prohibit gender transitions for minors in Missouri passes, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Wall Street Journal",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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            "name": "NBC News",
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            "name": "official government website of geography",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 1237.3619999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "abortion",
        "ballot measure",
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        "missouri amendment"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "_provenance": {
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-2SD2M7K3L4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}