{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF795XDRC0",
  "slug": "kxretiremm-26",
  "question": "Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "senate-leadership",
    "mcconnell-resignation",
    "2026-midterms",
    "political-succession"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Senator Mitch McConnell vacates his Senate seat before the November 2026 midterm elections. A single Kalshi binary contract prices the resignation outcome, resolved by Kalshi staff determination. The authoritative source is the Library of Congress, which publishes current U.S. Senate membership and office status. No cross-platform structural contrast applies here, as only one market exists.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G6KMYJ0ZR4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.17,
    "implied_probability": 0.17
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G6KMYJ0ZR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DF795XDRC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRETIREMM-26",
      "question": "Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?",
      "description": "Before election day 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The Library of Congress website publishes current information on U.S. Senate membership and office status.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mitch McConnell resigns their office, or announces they will resign their office, before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nLeaving office due to death will not resolve the market to Yes, and the market will remain open.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3946.5755000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 138506.68230000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mcconnell",
        "mitch mcconnell early",
        "resignation",
        "us-senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DF795XDRC0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}