{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
  "slug": "kxroku-26julhours",
  "question": "Will Roku's hours streamed in Q2 increase year-over-year?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "roku",
    "streaming-hours",
    "q2-2026",
    "financial-metrics",
    "earnings-report"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Roku's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure as disclosed in official earnings. Kalshi structures the event as eight binary strike thresholds spanning 37 billion to 40.5 billion hours, each asking whether the reported figure clears a given level. The implied probability spread across strikes functions as a synthetic distribution over the likely outcome range. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against Roku's official earnings disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-39ZCFDQXS2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.84,
    "implied_probability": 0.84
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RLT7744KR8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXROKU-26JULHOURS-37000000000",
      "question": "Will Roku Inc. report above 37 billion hours streamed in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 37 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 37 billion: The listed company's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure, reported via Fiscal.ai or official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Roku Inc. reports above 37000000000 hours streamed in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 37000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A1B29FC5D0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "q2-2026",
        "roku",
        "roku hours streamed",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RMVCW1RBH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXROKU-26JULHOURS-37500000000",
      "question": "Will Roku Inc. report above 37.5 billion hours streamed in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 37.5 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 37.5 billion: The listed company's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure, reported via Fiscal.ai or official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Roku Inc. reports above 37500000000 hours streamed in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 37500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F7D31A2D3D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "q2-2026",
        "roku",
        "roku hours streamed",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-39ZCFDQXS2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXROKU-26JULHOURS-P38000000000.0",
      "question": "Will Roku Inc. report above 38 billion hours streamed in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 38 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 38 billion: The listed company's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure, reported via Fiscal.ai or official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Roku Inc. reports above 38000000000.0 hours streamed in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 2708.02,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 38000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-30718B6A5D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "q2-2026",
        "roku",
        "roku hours streamed",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VB9X5LL9Y2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXROKU-26JULHOURS-P38500000000.0",
      "question": "Will Roku Inc. report above 38.5 billion hours streamed in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 38.5 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 38.5 billion: The listed company's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure, reported via Fiscal.ai or official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Roku Inc. reports above 38500000000.0 hours streamed in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1143.95,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 38500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7089C69362",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "q2-2026",
        "roku",
        "roku hours streamed",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0QPGDKT8M8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXROKU-26JULHOURS-P39000000000.0",
      "question": "Will Roku Inc. report above 39 billion hours streamed in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 39 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 39 billion: The listed company's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure, reported via Fiscal.ai or official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Roku Inc. reports above 39000000000.0 hours streamed in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.41,
      "volume_total_usd": 791.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 39000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-040749E155",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "q2-2026",
        "roku",
        "roku hours streamed",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBYVDYT1L9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXROKU-26JULHOURS-P39500000000.0",
      "question": "Will Roku Inc. report above 39.5 billion hours streamed in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 39.5 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 39.5 billion: The listed company's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure, reported via Fiscal.ai or official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Roku Inc. reports above 39500000000.0 hours streamed in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 536.55,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 39500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-101FEFD334",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "q2-2026",
        "roku",
        "roku hours streamed",
        "streaming"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MY99KCD5V7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXROKU-26JULHOURS-P40000000000.0",
      "question": "Will Roku Inc. report above 40 billion hours streamed in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 40 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 40 billion: The listed company's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure, reported via Fiscal.ai or official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Roku Inc. reports above 40000000000.0 hours streamed in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.09,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 507.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 40000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-EA028C5E8F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "q2-2026",
        "roku",
        "roku hours streamed",
        "streaming"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P8RSJSLZP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXROKU-26JULHOURS-P40500000000.0",
      "question": "Will Roku Inc. report above 40.5 billion hours streamed in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 40.5 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 40.5 billion: The listed company's Q2 2026 hours streamed figure, reported via Fiscal.ai or official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 29, 2026, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Roku Inc. reports above 40500000000.0 hours streamed in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 80.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 40500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F6915E52C7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "q2-2026",
        "roku",
        "roku hours streamed",
        "streaming"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-L4PHX5SC28",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}