{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
  "slug": "kxrtx5090max-26dec31",
  "question": "Will the price of the NVIDIA RTX 5090 be announced or released by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "nvidia-gpu-pricing",
    "rtx-5090",
    "compute-economics",
    "hardware-costs",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the NVIDIA RTX 5090 spot compute price per hour by December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures all 15 contracts as binary strike thresholds, ranging from $0.11 to $2.21 per hour. Together they form an implied probability distribution over the RTX 5090 rate level. Kalshi staff resolve each contract via the Ornn dashboard, introducing platform-specific data sourcing as a key resolution caveat.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-15QGC1HWM5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.98,
    "implied_probability": 0.98,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1HQ9RKJWX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.110",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.11 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.11",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.11: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:51:47Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.11 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 318.93,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.11,
      "question_id": "CMX-0CA013A117",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XQP7NJV774",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.260",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.26 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.26",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.26: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:52:10Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.26 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 224.73,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.26,
      "question_id": "CMX-116EDB70A7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7FFDRR7HW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.410",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.41 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.41",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.41: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:52:31Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.41 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3283.83,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.41,
      "question_id": "CMX-45013C085A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-15QGC1HWM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.560",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.56 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.56",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.56: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:52:51Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.56 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3332,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.56,
      "question_id": "CMX-3D11875F78",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8JQ6F21NZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.710",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.71 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.71",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.71: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:53:10Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.71 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2057.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.71,
      "question_id": "CMX-A957DE254F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KLD9K55NR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.860",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.86 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.86",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.86: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:53:28Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.86 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 22.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.86,
      "question_id": "CMX-43445B681F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Y71KWJL72",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.010",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.01 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.01",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.01: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:54:07Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.01 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 212.38,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.01,
      "question_id": "CMX-49B12BADD6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MVBN5RV964",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.160",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.16 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.16",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.16: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:54:26Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.16 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 151.46,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.16,
      "question_id": "CMX-C27364A315",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M1YKYPYPV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.310",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.31 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.31",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.31: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:54:42Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.31 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.52,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.31,
      "question_id": "CMX-4554CA3E61",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VGV3HJ91W7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.460",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.46",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.46: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.46 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.6271,
      "volume_total_usd": 238.0662,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.46,
      "question_id": "CMX-9CCF7644B0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VNHFRTW5K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.610",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.61",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.61: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.61 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T00:00:52.950Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 169.1242,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.61,
      "question_id": "CMX-315EF4394A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DV3LRK8NC8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.760",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.76",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.76: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.76 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 22.5804,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.76,
      "question_id": "CMX-FECA28F1B6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K63G3GJ8X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.910",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.91 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.91",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.91: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.91 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 30.803200000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.91,
      "question_id": "CMX-66D5741171",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-879B892NL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-2.060",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $2.06 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.06",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.06: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $2.06 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.75,
      "volume_total_usd": 42.7325,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.06,
      "question_id": "CMX-53005BBAF9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HM4ZH9Q3Z7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-2.210",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $2.21 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.21",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.21: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced GPU model's compute-per-hour price via Ornn dashboard on or before January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $2.21 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T11:01:09.506Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 36.2793,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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