{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
  "slug": "kxrtx5090max-26dec31",
  "question": "Will the price of the NVIDIA RTX 5090 be announced or released by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "nvidia-gpu-pricing",
    "compute-infrastructure",
    "hardware-economics",
    "2027-resolution",
    "enterprise-hardware"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the NVIDIA RTX 5090 spot compute price per hour as of December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures all 15 contracts as binary strike thresholds, ranging from $0.11 to $2.21, allowing traders to build an implied probability distribution across the full price range. Resolution relies on Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price via Kalshi staff determination. Ornn is a niche data source; its methodology and sampling frequency should be verified before trading.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7FFDRR7HW0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1HQ9RKJWX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.110",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.11 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.11",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.11: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.11 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 318.9312,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.11,
      "question_id": "CMX-0CA013A117",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XQP7NJV774",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.260",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.26 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.26",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.26: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.26 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 224.73,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.26,
      "question_id": "CMX-116EDB70A7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7FFDRR7HW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.410",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.41 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.41",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.41: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.41 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3283.83,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.41,
      "question_id": "CMX-45013C085A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-15QGC1HWM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.560",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.56 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.56",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.56: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.56 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3332,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.56,
      "question_id": "CMX-3D11875F78",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8JQ6F21NZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.710",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.71 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.71",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.71: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.71 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2057.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.71,
      "question_id": "CMX-A957DE254F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KLD9K55NR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-0.860",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.86 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.86",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.86: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.86 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 22.799999999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.86,
      "question_id": "CMX-43445B681F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Y71KWJL72",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.010",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.01 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.01",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.01: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.01 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 212.3847,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.01,
      "question_id": "CMX-49B12BADD6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MVBN5RV964",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.160",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.16 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.16",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.16: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.16 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 151.46,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.16,
      "question_id": "CMX-C27364A315",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M1YKYPYPV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.310",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.31 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.31",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.31: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.31 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.52,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.31,
      "question_id": "CMX-4554CA3E61",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VGV3HJ91W7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.460",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.46",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.46: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.46 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 37.929,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.46,
      "question_id": "CMX-9CCF7644B0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VNHFRTW5K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.610",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.61",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.61: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.61 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 7.41,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.61,
      "question_id": "CMX-315EF4394A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DV3LRK8NC8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.760",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.76",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.76: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.76 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.9802,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.76,
      "question_id": "CMX-FECA28F1B6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K63G3GJ8X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.910",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.91 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.91",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.91: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.91 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.06,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.1498,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.91,
      "question_id": "CMX-66D5741171",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-879B892NL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-2.060",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $2.06 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.06",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.06: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $2.06 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.813000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.06,
      "question_id": "CMX-53005BBAF9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HM4ZH9Q3Z7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-2.210",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $2.21 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.21",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.21: Ornn's reported compute-per-hour price for the referenced GPU model on December 31, 2026 determines whether the listed outcome resolved above or at/below the specified threshold, with Kalshi staff making final determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $2.21 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.809000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.21,
      "question_id": "CMX-6EF81D3A55",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-HV1R5NJX71",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}