{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
  "slug": "kxrtx5090mon-26jul31",
  "question": "The RTX 5090 compute per hour price on Jul 31",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      0.48,
      0.53
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0.03,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.08,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.13,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.18,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.23,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.28,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.33,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.38,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.43,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.48,
        "prob": 59
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.53,
        "prob": 19
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.58,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.63,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.68,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.73,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.78,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.83,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.88,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.93,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.98,
        "prob": 4
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "nvidia-gpu-pricing",
    "rtx-5090",
    "compute-economics",
    "hardware-cost",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the per-hour rental price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute as of July 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as twenty strike thresholds from $0.03 to $0.98, each a binary above/below question. Together they form an implied probability distribution over the price level. Kalshi staff resolve each contract using Ornn dashboard data, with settlement by August 8, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NDY03G5ZD5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.07,
    "implied_probability": 0.07
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SFDYJ0WKB8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.030",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.03 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.03",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.03: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.03 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 98.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 191.9907,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.03,
      "question_id": "CMX-0177BC1A2F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FD8B8GCJT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.080",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.08 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.08",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.08: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.08 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 116.75070000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.08,
      "question_id": "CMX-0356D20269",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RYDLB41JZ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.130",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.13 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.13",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.13: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.13 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7292.34,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.13,
      "question_id": "CMX-F99989EC08",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3QTC712SB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.180",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.18 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.18",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.18: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.18 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5176.71,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.18,
      "question_id": "CMX-B6353204AE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K3RPQZNCL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.230",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.23 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.23",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.23: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.23 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3502.62,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.23,
      "question_id": "CMX-1058559B8A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-46HQYPM0R9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.280",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.28 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.28",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.28: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.28 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1388.9898,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.28,
      "question_id": "CMX-5EF79CF51C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N7TT9JH6B3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.330",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.33 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.33",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.33: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.33 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1210.7799,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.33,
      "question_id": "CMX-5C7449954D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N5VB2GMBH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.380",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.38 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.38",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.38: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.38 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1229.5899,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.38,
      "question_id": "CMX-D803FABBB0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-37VHQBNRR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.430",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.43 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.43",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.43: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.43 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 1904.5224,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.43,
      "question_id": "CMX-A0ADACCC01",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CT3C3SVCK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.480",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.48 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.48",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.48: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.48 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.51,
      "implied_probability": 0.51,
      "volume_24h_usd": 180.58079999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 827.4597,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.48,
      "question_id": "CMX-60BA863AAE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NDY03G5ZD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.530",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.53 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.53",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.53: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.53 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.526,
      "volume_total_usd": 74.36030000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.53,
      "question_id": "CMX-2900D3916D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GSXQ7DWS97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.580",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.58 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.58",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.58: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.58 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.2495,
      "volume_total_usd": 39.0835,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.58,
      "question_id": "CMX-FA17AF0B26",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VDS4J3LX45",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.630",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.63 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.63",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.63: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.63 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.5762,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.63,
      "question_id": "CMX-6022140C98",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B3X2TBX6Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.680",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.68 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.68",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.68: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.68 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.22,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.6901,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.68,
      "question_id": "CMX-A1993358B9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-64M2V25PB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.730",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.73 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.73",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.73: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.73 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1,
      "volume_total_usd": 7.4801,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.73,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9B793F994",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7CLZ7Z9QR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.780",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.78 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.78",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.78: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.78 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.81,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.78,
      "question_id": "CMX-45B911994F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R0YTB7LM01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.830",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.83 on Jul 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.83",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.83: Kalshi staff determination via Ornn dashboard data on compute pricing as of July 31, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.83 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.28,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.83,
      "question_id": "CMX-94DDD2C1EA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "rtx-5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4XD4WW1QQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.88 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.93 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090MON-26JUL31-0.980",
      "question": "Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.98 on Jul 31?",
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        "rules_raw": "If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.98 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "threshold": 0.98,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu-pricing",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-37211JR4L5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}