{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
  "slug": "kxrtx5090ws-26aug14",
  "question": "NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price, August 14, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      0.45,
      0.5
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0.15,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.2,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.25,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.3,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.35,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.4,
        "prob": 91
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.45,
        "prob": 74
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.5,
        "prob": 35
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.55,
        "prob": 10
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.6,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.65,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.7,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.75,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.8,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.25,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.5,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nvidia-hardware",
    "gpu-pricing",
    "real-time-data",
    "week-33-2026",
    "spot-price"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the NVIDIA RTX 5090 spot compute price at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026. All 17 contracts are Kalshi binary strikes ranging from $0.15 to $1.50 per hour, forming an implied probability distribution over the rate level. Together they price the full price curve, not a single directional outcome. Kalshi staff determination relies on the Ornn dashboard as the authoritative data source, introducing platform-dependency risk at resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B0GPXLXP55",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.35,
    "implied_probability": 0.35
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZP4QL0NMW1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.150",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.15 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.15",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.15: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.15 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 1862.19,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.15,
      "question_id": "CMX-1154BF039C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VBFL499212",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.200",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.2 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.20: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.2 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 693,
      "volume_total_usd": 6961.93,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-9F1638A095",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXQS6VV6F5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.250",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.25 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.25",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.25: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.25 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 692.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 10055.38,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-CFA137CFE2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FMBVDGS794",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.300",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.3 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.30",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.30: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.3 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 871.22,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-D8CBD3352F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M8YZV05669",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.350",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.35 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.35",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.35: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.35 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 1224.05,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.35,
      "question_id": "CMX-5CDDF2A0FA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-14DSHNLYD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.400",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.4 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.40: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.4 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "volume_24h_usd": 162.89,
      "volume_total_usd": 788.97,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-7008325188",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZTVV5W2Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.450",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.45 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.45",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.45: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.45 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.74,
      "implied_probability": 0.74,
      "volume_24h_usd": 321.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 680.59,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.45,
      "question_id": "CMX-2081D1583B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B0GPXLXP55",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.500",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.5 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.50: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.5 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 143.12,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-3BDFAC92DE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZN2RGW5BM0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.550",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.55 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.55",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.55: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.55 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.74,
      "volume_total_usd": 53.47,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.55,
      "question_id": "CMX-91F31ED0CB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BL8PG5G8M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.600",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.6 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.60: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.6 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.53,
      "volume_total_usd": 69.44,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-77358EC9F5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JZDS0L7J03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.650",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.65 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.65",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.65: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.65 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.58,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.65,
      "question_id": "CMX-375B21BC16",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9448B04XD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.700",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.7 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.70",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.70: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.7 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12.63,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-FBB1D9AD7D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4L6DWF7580",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.750",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.75 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.75",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.75: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.75 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13.28,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-6AF2580949",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-06V5KSJN48",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-0.800",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.8 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $0.80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.80: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.8 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.46,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-ECFFFF324C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZY22LVS3S8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-1.000",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $1.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.00: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.81,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-CBD13631CE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0932D81V45",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-1.250",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.25 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $1.25",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.25: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.25 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.54,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-3BF58B309C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia rtx 5090",
        "pricing",
        "rtx5090"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X1QLQ2YNR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYX5Z2CN29",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXRTX5090WS-26AUG14-1.500",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.5 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14?",
      "description": "Above $1.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.50: Kalshi staff determination based on the referenced GPU's compute-per-hour price recorded on Ornn dashboard at 4 PM ET on August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.5 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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