{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X6VTGR8GH9",
  "slug": "kxsbux-26jultxgrw",
  "question": "Starbucks Corporation report company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      4,
      5
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    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 92
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      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 82
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      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 52
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      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 16
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        "prob": 2
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  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "starbucks",
    "comparable-sales-growth",
    "q3-2026",
    "retail-earnings",
    "threshold-binary"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Starbucks comparable transactions growth for Q3 2026, as reported in the company's quarterly earnings. Kalshi structures the event as five discrete strike thresholds: above 2%, 3%, 4%, 5%, and 6%. Together they form an implied probability distribution over the realized growth figure. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai as the primary data source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6S3N42GG7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.13
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "question": "Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 2% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2%",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-27T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Starbucks Corporation reports Above 2.0% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "question_id": "CMX-2302A6D769",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 3% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-27T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T20:00:00Z",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 4% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4%",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-27T20:00:00Z",
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      "question_id": "CMX-3FE8B51234",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUX-26JULTXGRW-5.0",
      "question": "Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 5% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-27T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Starbucks Corporation reports Above 5.0% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "question": "Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 6% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Starbucks Corporation reports Above 6.0% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X6VTGR8GH9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}