{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
  "slug": "kxsbuxft-26aug08",
  "question": "Starbucks Foot Traffic in July",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "starbucks",
    "foot-traffic",
    "retail-metrics",
    "us-commerce",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track U.S. Starbucks foot traffic for July 2026 using Carbon Arc's monthly visit data. Kalshi structures the event as nine binary strike thresholds spanning 520 million to 600 million visits. Together the strikes form an implied probability distribution over the realized traffic level. Kalshi staff determination resolves all contracts on August 15, 2026 against Carbon Arc's published figure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9SXGGF3331",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.2,
    "implied_probability": 0.2
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7YZF916M6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T520",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 520 Million?",
      "description": "Above 520 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 520 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 520 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Carbon Arc",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Carbon Arc",
            "url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "Carbon Arc",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 49.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 1442.12,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 520,
      "question_id": "CMX-2A5B1208B4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "foot-traffic",
        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N3M4GTPK58",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T530",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 530 Million?",
      "description": "Above 530 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 530 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 530 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Carbon Arc",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Carbon Arc",
            "url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
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      "volume_total_usd": 1339.35,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 530,
      "question_id": "CMX-82CCE895BC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "foot-traffic",
        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9SXGGF3331",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T540",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 540 Million?",
      "description": "Above 540 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 540 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 540 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Carbon Arc",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 210.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 1482.72,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 540,
      "question_id": "CMX-9AFE54D11E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "foot-traffic",
        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BKQMWMFMW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T550",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 550 Million?",
      "description": "Above 550 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 550 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 550 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Carbon Arc",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 350.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 550,
      "question_id": "CMX-23975971B9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "foot-traffic",
        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JR4ZHY9T67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T560",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 560 Million?",
      "description": "Above 560 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 560 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 560 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.11,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 189.81,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 560,
      "question_id": "CMX-8408F4937B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "foot-traffic",
        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T570",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 570 Million?",
      "description": "Above 570 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 570 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 570 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "name": "Carbon Arc",
            "url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-EF38F163E3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T580",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 580 Million?",
      "description": "Above 580 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 580 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 580 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Carbon Arc",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 580,
      "question_id": "CMX-557375DFB6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
      ],
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T590",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 590 Million?",
      "description": "Above 590 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 590 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 590 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Carbon Arc",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Carbon Arc",
            "url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
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      "question_id": "CMX-93B17213A1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSBUXFT-26AUG08-T600",
      "question": "Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 600 Million?",
      "description": "Above 600 Million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 600 Million: Carbon Arc's monthly foot traffic data for the referenced month resolves on August 15, 2026 via Kalshi staff determination against the published dataset.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 600 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Carbon Arc",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 600,
      "question_id": "CMX-6235A010A7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "foot-traffic",
        "july-2026",
        "starbucks",
        "starbucks us monthly",
        "us"
      ],
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}