{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL2R17Q8K4",
  "slug": "kxscotusmarijuanagun",
  "question": "Will the Supreme Court of the United States uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "scotus-decision",
    "gun-rights",
    "marijuana-policy",
    "federal-law",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "United States v. Hemani tests whether the federal prohibition on firearm possession by marijuana users survives Second Amendment scrutiny post-Bruen. The Kalshi market prices a binary outcome: does the Supreme Court rule for the United States. Resolution turns on the Supreme Court's published opinion in Hemani, via Kalshi staff determination. The market closes August 1, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JKG2CTB702",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.17,
    "implied_probability": 0.17
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JKG2CTB702",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL2R17Q8K4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSCOTUSMARIJUANAGUN",
      "question": "Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of The United States in United States v. Hemani",
      "description": "Before 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The Supreme Court's published decision in United States v. Hemani, available on supremecourt.gov, determines the ruling.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Supreme Court, in United States v. Hemani, rules that the federal government may continue to bar marijuana users from buying or possessing firearms under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision that reverses, vacates, or otherwise overturns the Fifth Circuit’s decision invalidating § 922(g)(3) as applied to marijuana users, and upholds the federal prohibition on firearm possession by an “unlawful user” of a controlled substance, after Issuance and before August 1, 2026",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Supreme Court",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.supremecourt.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Supreme Court",
            "url": "https://www.supremecourt.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Supreme Court of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Supreme Court",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 43.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 11679,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal law",
        "gun rights",
        "litigation",
        "marijuana",
        "scotus",
        "united states hemani"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JL2R17Q8K4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}