{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4Z1CSCPH96",
  "slug": "kxscotusn-25dec31",
  "question": "Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "supreme-court",
    "judicial-appointments",
    "senate-confirmation",
    "us-politics",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the U.S. Senate confirms a new Supreme Court justice by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the Senate Judiciary Committee's confirmation vote record hosted on the Library of Congress website. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform divergence exists. The binary outcome settles on confirmed or not confirmed before the deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2G4MTV4KH6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.14,
    "implied_probability": 0.14
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2G4MTV4KH6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4Z1CSCPH96",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSCOTUSN-25DEC31-27",
      "question": "Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The Senate Judiciary Committee's confirmation vote record on the Library of Congress website determines whether a new Supreme Court justice was confirmed before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 102.97980000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 22637.1866,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "judicial appointments",
        "supreme court",
        "us politics",
        "us supreme court"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4Z1CSCPH96",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}