{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YGVX09RD56",
  "slug": "kxscrsens-26",
  "question": "Will a South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner be determined by January 1, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "south-carolina",
    "republican-primary",
    "senate-election",
    "2027",
    "special-election"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary. Kalshi lists eleven named candidates as discrete binary contracts. Each contract resolves YES if that candidate receives the plurality of votes. Kalshi staff determination uses county-reported vote tallies as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KXPZ3PG767",
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    "implied_probability": 0.64,
    "as_of": null
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YGVX09RD56",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSCRSENS-26-PEVE",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "Pamela Evette",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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        "caps": [],
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "pamela evette",
        "primary",
        "republican",
        "senate",
        "south carolina"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YGVX09RD56",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSCRSENS-26-RFRY",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "Russell Fry",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Russell Fry: The named candidate receiving the most votes in the referenced election, as reported by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determines the outcome by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Russell Fry wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3912.59,
      "volume_total_usd": 80680.47,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "republican",
        "russell fry",
        "senate",
        "south carolina"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZQ0QYGDFZ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YGVX09RD56",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSCRSENS-26-MLYN",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "Mark Lynch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Lynch: The named candidate receiving the most votes in the referenced election, as reported by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determines the outcome by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Lynch wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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      "volume_24h_usd": 15.27,
      "volume_total_usd": 1129.83,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5QV6371L86",
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "Nikki Haley",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nikki Haley: The named candidate receiving the most votes in the referenced election, as reported by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determines the outcome by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YGVX09RD56",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSCRSENS-26-RNOR",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "Ralph Norman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ralph Norman: The named candidate receiving the most votes in the referenced election, as reported by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determines the outcome by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ralph Norman wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YGVX09RD56",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSCRSENS-26-SBES",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
      "description": "Scott Bessent",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Scott Bessent: The named candidate receiving the most votes in the referenced election, as reported by the relevant county clerk or board of elections, determines the outcome by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Scott Bessent wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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