{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XF4279Y8G4",
  "slug": "kxsecstatemi-26",
  "question": "Will the Michigan Secretary of State election be won by the Democratic candidate in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "michigan-2027",
    "state-election",
    "secretary-of-state",
    "electoral-outcome"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Michigan Secretary of State election in 2026. Both are listed on Kalshi and price the probability of each party's candidate winning the race. Resolution follows official election certification via Kalshi staff determination. No cross-platform structural contrast is present; both markets are symmetric binary outcomes on the same event.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5CFH87RCD5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.87,
    "implied_probability": 0.87
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XF4279Y8G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSECSTATEMI-26-D",
      "question": "Michigan Secretary of State winner?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's victory in the Michigan Secretary of State election resolves per official certification by Michigan's electoral authority by November 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is elected the Secretary of State of Michigan in the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 770.0979,
      "volume_total_usd": 7431.792300000001,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XF4279Y8G4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSECSTATEMI-26-R",
      "question": "Michigan Secretary of State winner?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's victory in the Michigan Secretary of State election resolves per official certification by Michigan's electoral authority by November 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is elected the Secretary of State of Michigan in the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 27.969,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XF4279Y8G4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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