{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-N5BHCQK369",
  "slug": "kxsenateadjourn-27",
  "question": "Will the Senate leave for August recess in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate",
    "congressional-calendar",
    "august-recess",
    "2026",
    "legislative-scheduling"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks when the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess. Three Kalshi binary markets tier the same question across three sequential deadlines: August 8, August 11, and August 15. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination using Washington Post reporting as the authoritative source. Later-dated contracts imply higher probability, letting traders express views on recess timing with strike-level precision.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0R89S7KDH5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.64,
    "implied_probability": 0.64
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0R89S7KDH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N5BHCQK369",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEADJOURN-27-26AUG08",
      "question": "Will it be reported by U.S. Senate that the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess before Aug 8, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 8, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 8, 2026: The Washington Post reporting on when the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess, with resolution deadline August 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess  after Issuance and before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly reporting from U.S. Senate qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "South China Morning Post",
            "url": "https://www.scmp.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Verge",
            "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC News Australia",
            "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBC",
            "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.64,
      "implied_probability": 0.64,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1052.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 6920.76,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
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        "senate august recess"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YBMPG1KC57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N5BHCQK369",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEADJOURN-27-26AUG11",
      "question": "Will it be reported by U.S. Senate that the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess before Aug 11, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 11, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 11, 2026: The Washington Post reporting on when the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess, with resolution deadline August 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess  after Issuance and before Aug 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly reporting from U.S. Senate qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "South China Morning Post",
            "url": "https://www.scmp.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Verge",
            "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC News Australia",
            "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBC",
            "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "U.S. Senate",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.82,
      "implied_probability": 0.82,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.82,
      "volume_total_usd": 471.41,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "adjournment",
        "recess",
        "senate",
        "senate august recess"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HW9SM33TK2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N5BHCQK369",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEADJOURN-27-26AUG15",
      "question": "Will it be reported by U.S. Senate that the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess before Aug 15, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 15, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 15, 2026: The Washington Post reporting on when the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess, with resolution deadline August 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-22T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess  after Issuance and before Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly reporting from U.S. Senate qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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            "name": "South China Morning Post",
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
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          {
            "name": "ABC News Australia",
            "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "adjournment",
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        "senate",
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