{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8PS7CZ2SN7",
  "slug": "kxsenatecor-26",
  "question": "Will the Colorado Republican Senate nominee be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-2026",
    "colorado-politics",
    "republican-nominee",
    "primary-election",
    "candidate-selection"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for the Colorado U.S. Senate seat, resolving November 3, 2026. Each Kalshi contract isolates a single candidate: Joshi, Markert, Jones, Ganahl, or Baisley. The five binary markets collectively span the nominee field, functioning as a discrete probability distribution across candidates. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination, referencing official Republican Party announcement of the nominated candidate.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G1X2W4D6Y3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.976
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V47R2GCQ43",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8PS7CZ2SN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATECOR-26-JJOS",
      "question": "Will Janak Joshi be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Colorado?",
      "description": "Janak Joshi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Janak Joshi: Republican Party official announcement of the named candidate as the party's nominee for the referenced Senate seat resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Janak Joshi wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.025,
      "implied_probability": 0.025,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "colorado",
        "janak joshi",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DBQXC4TTC8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8PS7CZ2SN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATECOR-26-GWM",
      "question": "Will George Washington Markert be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Colorado?",
      "description": "George Washington Markert",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "George Washington Markert: Republican Party official announcement of the named candidate as the party's nominee for the referenced Senate seat resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If George Washington Markert wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.033,
      "implied_probability": 0.033,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 39.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3HFMPNS2M6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8PS7CZ2SN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATECOR-26-DJON",
      "question": "Will Dathan Jones be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Colorado?",
      "description": "Dathan Jones",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dathan Jones: Republican Party official announcement of the named candidate as the party's nominee for the referenced Senate seat resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dathan Jones wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.045,
      "implied_probability": 0.045,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 50.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SMDYNKLF80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8PS7CZ2SN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATECOR-26-HGAN",
      "question": "Will Heidi Ganahl be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Colorado?",
      "description": "Heidi Ganahl",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Heidi Ganahl: Republican Party official announcement of the named candidate as the party's nominee for the referenced Senate seat resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Heidi Ganahl wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.081,
      "implied_probability": 0.081,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8PS7CZ2SN7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATECOR-26-MBAI",
      "question": "Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Colorado?",
      "description": "Mark Baisley",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Baisley: Republican Party official announcement of the named candidate as the party's nominee for the referenced Senate seat resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Baisley wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-8PS7CZ2SN7",
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}