{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
  "slug": "kxsenatefld-26",
  "question": "Will the Florida Democratic Senate nominee be determined by the 2026 general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "senate-nominee",
    "democratic-primary",
    "us-senate"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate will emerge as the Florida Democratic Senate nominee in 2026. Each binary contract prices a single named candidate's probability of winning the primary. All eight markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the certified primary result. Together they form an implied probability distribution across the declared candidate field.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6PQG460XH6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.94,
    "implied_probability": 0.94
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TGQCCRNP74",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLD-26-JM",
      "question": "Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Jared Moskowitz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Moskowitz: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced Senate seat by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jared Moskowitz wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 65.64099,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "florida",
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        "senate"
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VWYPJTXXT5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLD-26-CC",
      "question": "Will Charlie Crist be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Charlie Crist",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Charlie Crist: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced Senate seat by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Charlie Crist wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 1.699,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "charlie crist",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-62FVMKKVV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLD-26-JWEI",
      "question": "Will Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Josh Weil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Josh Weil: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced Senate seat by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Josh Weil wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.4713,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "democrat",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6PQG460XH6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLD-26-AVIN",
      "question": "Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Alexander Vindman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Alexander Vindman: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced Senate seat by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Alexander Vindman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 102.46,
      "volume_total_usd": 12804.586,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "alexander vindman",
        "democrat",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z9RNBHB838",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLD-26-JATK",
      "question": "Will Joey Atkins be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Joey Atkins",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joey Atkins: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced Senate seat by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Joey Atkins wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 1.076,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GL7Q8T2FP0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLD-26-ANIX",
      "question": "Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Angie Nixon",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Angie Nixon: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced Senate seat by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Angie Nixon wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLD-26-JJEN",
      "question": "Will Jennifer Jenkins be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Jennifer Jenkins",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jennifer Jenkins: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced Senate seat by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jennifer Jenkins wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 1.122,
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M02ZJWQWV9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLD-26-HMUJ",
      "question": "Will Hector Mujica be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Hector Mujica",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hector Mujica: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced Senate seat by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hector Mujica wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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      "tags": [
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