{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
  "slug": "kxsenateflr-26",
  "question": "Will a Florida Republican be nominated as the Republican Senate nominee in the 2026 general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-us-senate",
    "florida-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "nomination-race",
    "senate-nominee"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for Florida's U.S. Senate seat. Each Kalshi contract prices one candidate's binary outcome; together they sum to 100% across the field. All ten resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the Republican Party's official nominee announcement. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y8PWFLY8D5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.988,
    "implied_probability": 0.988
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G6SRDWNWB3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-AH",
      "question": "Will Ashton Hayward be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Ashton Hayward",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ashton Hayward: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ashton Hayward wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.544,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ashton hayward",
        "florida",
        "nominee",
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        "senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5356Y8XQZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-JC",
      "question": "Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Jay Collins",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jay Collins: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jay Collins wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 2.9826,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "florida",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FS4C3SZYN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-CDS",
      "question": "Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Casey DeSantis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Casey DeSantis: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Casey DeSantis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 2.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "casey desantis",
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        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VJ9F7P6S46",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-RDS",
      "question": "Will Ron DeSantis be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Ron DeSantis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ron DeSantis: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ron DeSantis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.039,
      "implied_probability": 0.039,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.741,
      "volume_total_usd": 801.04089,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "florida",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "ron desantis",
        "senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3881N8BPR2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-CM",
      "question": "Will Cory Mills be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Cory Mills",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cory Mills: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Cory Mills wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 10.169,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y8PWFLY8D5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-AM",
      "question": "Will Ashley Moody be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Ashley Moody",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ashley Moody: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Ashley Moody wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.988,
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      "tags": [
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        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7G4WSNY81",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-JN",
      "question": "Will Jeanette Nuñez be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Jeanette Nuñez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jeanette Nuñez: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jeanette Nuñez wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.67435,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VVRDGFVJX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-JO",
      "question": "Will José R. Oliva be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "José R. Oliva",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "José R. Oliva: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If José R. Oliva wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7L0JYYC0L8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-LT",
      "question": "Will Lara Trump be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "Lara Trump",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lara Trump: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lara Trump wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9V28SHRQM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEFLR-26-JU",
      "question": "Will James Uthmeier be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
      "description": "James Uthmeier",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "James Uthmeier: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced Senate seat resolves on November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If James Uthmeier wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 1.234,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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        "florida",
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}